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Super League
Referee: W Delajod
AEK
U S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,8
This season — Super League · 36/35 matches
Win Ø 68%
67%
69%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
66%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
43%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,4
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 1. · Panathinaikos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 36 24 10 2 +46 82
2 Panathinaikos 35 24 5 6 +54 77
3 Olympiakos 36 24 5 7 +46 77
4 PAOK 35 21 6 8 +44 69
5 Aris Thessalonikis 33 14 7 12 +5 49
6 Aris 33 14 7 12 +5 49
7 Lamia 36 10 9 17 -29 39
8 OFI Crete 33 8 13 12 -13 37
9 Atromitos 33 8 13 12 -15 37
10 Asteras Tripolis 33 11 4 18 -16 37
11 Panserraikos 33 8 12 13 -18 36
12 Panetolikos 33 7 9 17 -22 30
13 Volos NFC 33 7 9 17 -24 30
14 Kifisia 33 5 12 16 -31 27
15 Giannina 33 3 11 19 -32 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Panathinaikos
1–0 N. Eliasson
O. Pineda
7′
2–0 E. Ponce
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Vilhena
↦ S. Palacios
46′
🔁 A. Šporar
↦ D. Limnios
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
58′
63′
🟨 Tin Jedvaj
64′
🔁 B. Verbič
↦ A. Bakasetas
64′
🔁 F. Mladenović
↦ Juankar
68′
🟨 Samet Akaydin
3–0 N. Eliasson
69′
N. Amrabat 🔁
↦ L. Rota
76′
L. García 🔁
↦ E. Ponce
76′
G. Mitoglou 🔁
↦ N. Eliasson
77′
77′
🔁 G. Vagiannidis
↦ G. Kotsiras
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
82′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-4-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
18 A. Callens D
28 E. Hajisafi D
19 N. Eliasson M
6 J. Jønsson M
4 D. Szymański M
13 O. Pineda M
11 S. Araújo F
14 E. Ponce F
Bench (9)
8 M. Gaćinović
5 N. Amrabat
7 L. García
24 G. Mitoglou
20 P. Mantalos
29 D. Sidibé
10 S. Zuber
23 R. Ljubičić
1 C. Stanković

Coach: M. Almeyda

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
69 B. Drągowski G
27 G. Kotsiras D
94 S. Akaydın D
21 T. Jedvaj D
3 Juankar D
8 A. Bakasetas M
55 Willian Arão M
16 A. Čerin M
34 S. Palacios F
7 F. Ioannidis F
11 D. Limnios F
Bench (9)
52 T. Vilhena
9 A. Šporar
77 B. Verbič
25 F. Mladenović
2 G. Vagiannidis
31 F. Đuričić
12 Y. Lodygin
20 Vitor Hugo
6 Zeca

Coach: F. Terim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,46
B
3,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.