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Conference League
Referee: R Harvey
St. Gallen
U T S T T
4–1
Full-time
FK Tobol Kostanay
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen FK Tobol Kostanay
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 11
13 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gallen FK Tobol Kostanay
18′
🟨 Tsotne Mosiashvili
28′
⚽ A. Vallci 1–0
own goal
2–0 M. Stevanović ⚽
35′
3–0 C. Akolo ⚽
39′
Half-time 3–0
48′
🟨 Roman Asrankulov
56′
🔁 R. Tsonev
↦ T. Mosiashvili
K. Faber 🔁
↦ I. Schmidt
58′
N. Möller 🔁
↦ W. Geubbels
58′
63′
🟨 Ededem Essien
F. Mambimbi 🔁
↦ M. Stevanović
65′
L. Görtler 🔁
↦ C. Akolo
65′
73′
🔁 Z. Zhumashev
↦ E. Tapalov
73′
🔁 Rui Costa
↦ R. Asrankulov
4–0 B. Toma ⚽
77′
81′
🟨 Ahmed El Messaoudi
Víctor Ruiz 🔁
↦ C. Witzig
82′
85′
🟨 Islam Chesnokov
Jordi Quintillà 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Rui Costa
93′
🔁 B. Galym
↦ I. Ivanović
5–0 A. Vallci ⚽
97′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-1-3-2
1 L. Zigi G
33 I. Schmidt D
4 J. Stanić D
20 A. Vallci D
36 C. Okoroji D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
64 M. Stevanović M
24 B. Toma M
7 C. Witzig M
9 W. Geubbels F
10 C. Akolo F
Bench (10)
22 K. Faber
19 N. Möller
18 F. Mambimbi
16 L. Görtler
30 Víctor Ruiz
14 N. Yannick
63 C. Konietzke
25 L. Watkowiak
15 A. Diaby
5 S. Ambrosius

Coach: E. Maaßen

FK Tobol Kostanay

4-2-3-1
1 S. Pokatilov G
15 A. Gabaraev D
55 I. Miladinović D
5 P. N'Diaye D
3 R. Asrankulov D
6 E. Ededem M
13 T. Mosiashvili M
16 E. Tapalov M
8 A. El Messaoudi M
11 I. Chesnokov M
10 I. Ivanović F
Bench (9)
21 R. Tsonev
7 Z. Zhumashev
20 Rui Costa
51 B. Galym
25 R. Bozhko
28 Y. Shakhov
77 D. Henen
35 Y. Melikhov
4 E. Abdulla

Coach: N. Zhumaskaliev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.