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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Aalesund
T T U S U
3–1
Full-time
Tromso
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 0
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 12. · Tromso 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Sarpsborg 08 5 4 0 1 +8 12
3 Stabaek 5 4 0 1 +7 12
4 Brann 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Molde 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Stromsgodset 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Tromso 5 2 1 2 +0 7
8 Haugesund 5 2 1 2 -1 7
9 Valerenga 5 2 0 3 -2 6
10 Sandefjord 5 2 0 3 -2 6
11 Odd 5 2 0 3 -5 6
12 Aalesund 5 1 2 2 -2 5
13 Viking 6 1 1 4 -3 4
14 Sogndal 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Lillestrom 5 1 0 4 -6 3
16 Kristiansund 5 1 0 4 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Tromso
Mostafa Abdellaoue 🟨
18′
19′
🟨 Gjermund Aasen
21′
M. Ingebrigtsen 0–1
A. Sigurdarson
29′
🟨 Mikael Ingebrigtsen
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Patrick Kpozo
B. Riise 🔁
↦ V. Berisha
54′
1–1 B. Riise
V. Hoff
61′
2–1 M. Abdellaoue
V. Hoff
67′
71′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ A. Sigurdarson
75′
🔁 E. Samb
↦ C. Landu Landu
3–1 V. Hoff
M. Kirkeskov
80′
82′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ S. Wangberg
J. Hatlehol 🔁
↦ S. Fet
84′
O. Lie 🔁
↦ V. Hoff
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
22 A. Arnarson D
3 D. Grétarsson D
8 F. Carlsen M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 L. Veldwijk F
9 V. Berisha F
17 S. Fet M
Bench (7)
21 B. Riise
38 J. Hatlehol
5 O. Lie
23 P. Heigre
37 J. Barstad
36 E. Solnørdal
15 Marlinho

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Tromso

4-4-2
1 G. Kongshavn G
14 H. Norbye D
22 S. Wangberg D
26 J. Gundersen D
16 P. Kpozo D
6 C. Landu Landu M
17 A. Sigurdarson F
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (6)
15 M. Andersen
18 E. Samb
5 M. Ødegaard
11 J. Johansen
28 J. Karlstrom
3 K. Antonsen

Coach: B. Flovik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.