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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Sogndal

T S T U T

0–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

20%

Points per game

0,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

2,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 10

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sogndal 14. · Lillestrom 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Sarpsborg 08	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Stabaek	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Brann	6	3	2	1	+6	11
5	Molde	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Tromso	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Valerenga	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Odd	5	2	0	3	-5	6
12	Aalesund	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Viking	6	1	1	4	-3	4
14	Sogndal	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Lillestrom	5	1	0	4	-6	3
16	Kristiansund	5	1	0	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sarpsborg 08	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Stabaek	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Brann	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Rosenborg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Stromsgodset	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Molde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Valerenga	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Odd	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Haugesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Tromso	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Viking	3	1	0	2	+1	3
13	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Lillestrom	3	1	0	2	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Brann	3	1	1	1	+1	4
3	Molde	3	1	1	1	+0	4
4	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-1	3
8	Haugesund	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Aalesund	3	0	2	1	-2	2
10	Stromsgodset	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Viking	3	0	1	2	-4	1
12	Lillestrom	2	0	0	2	-3	0
13	Valerenga	2	0	0	2	-5	0
14	Kristiansund	3	0	0	3	-8	0
15	Sogndal	3	0	0	3	-8	0
16	Odd	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.