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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Augsburg

T T T S T

4–0

Full-time

Hamburg

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

30%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 52%

57%

47%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 16. · Hamburg 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	31	22	7	2	+62	73
2	RB Leipzig	31	19	6	6	+25	63
3	Dortmund	31	16	9	6	+30	57
4	Hoffenheim	30	14	13	3	+25	55
5	Hertha	31	14	4	13	+1	46
6	Werder Bremen	31	13	6	12	+1	45
7	Freiburg	31	13	5	13	-17	44
8	FC Koln	31	10	12	9	+6	42
9	M'gladbach	31	12	6	13	-4	42
10	Schalke 04	31	11	8	12	+7	41
11	Ein Frankfurt	30	11	8	11	-2	41
12	Leverkusen	31	10	6	15	-6	36
13	Mainz	31	9	6	16	-11	33
14	Wolfsburg	31	9	6	16	-19	33
15	Hamburg	30	9	6	15	-25	33
16	Augsburg	30	8	8	14	-20	32
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	31	8	5	18	-21	29
18	Darmstadt	31	7	3	21	-32	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	16	12	2	2	+20	38
2	Bayern Munich	15	11	4	0	+42	37
3	Dortmund	15	11	4	0	+27	37
4	Hertha	15	12	1	2	+16	37
5	Hoffenheim	15	10	5	0	+20	35
6	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+14	28
7	Freiburg	15	9	1	5	-3	28
8	FC Koln	15	7	6	2	+9	27
9	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	6	2	+8	27
10	Werder Bremen	16	8	1	7	+6	25
11	M'gladbach	15	7	3	5	+8	24
12	Hamburg	15	7	3	5	-5	24
13	Mainz	16	6	4	6	+2	22
14	Darmstadt	16	6	3	7	-5	21
15	Leverkusen	16	5	5	6	-1	20
16	Augsburg	15	4	5	6	-7	17
17	Wolfsburg	16	5	2	9	-10	17
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	4	3	8	-9	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	11	3	2	+20	36
2	RB Leipzig	15	7	4	4	+5	25
3	Hoffenheim	15	4	8	3	+5	20
4	Dortmund	16	5	5	6	+3	20
5	Werder Bremen	15	5	5	5	-5	20
6	M'gladbach	16	5	3	8	-12	18
7	Leverkusen	15	5	1	9	-5	16
8	Wolfsburg	15	4	4	7	-9	16
9	Freiburg	16	4	4	8	-14	16
10	FC Koln	16	3	6	7	-3	15
11	Augsburg	15	4	3	8	-13	15
12	Ein Frankfurt	15	4	2	9	-10	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	4	2	10	-12	14
14	Schalke 04	15	3	4	8	-7	13
15	Mainz	15	3	2	10	-13	11
16	Hertha	16	2	3	11	-15	9
17	Hamburg	15	2	3	10	-20	9
18	Darmstadt	15	1	0	14	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.