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Europa League
Referee: F Zwayer
Tottenham
S U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Man United
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 64%
64%
64%
Points per game
2,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 68%
57%
79%
Average goals
2,9
3,8
Scored
1,9
2,5
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,01 xG 0,97
27% Possession 73%
3 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Feb -25 Tottenham – Man United 1–0 19. Dec -24 Tottenham – Man United 4–3 29. Sep -24 Man United – Tottenham 0–3 14. Jan -24 Man United – Tottenham 2–2 19. Aug -23 Tottenham – Man United 2–0

Match report

Tottenham Man United
-5′
🟨 Jonny Evans
35′
🟨 Amad Diallo
1–0 B. Johnson ⚽
42′
Half-time 1–0
Micky van de Ven 🟨
49′
Richarlison 🟨
57′
Son Heung-Min 🔁
↦ Richarlison
67′
Yves Bissouma 🟨
68′
71′
🔁 A. Garnacho
↦ M. Mount
71′
🔁 J. Zirkzee
↦ R. Højlund
K. Danso 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
79′
84′
🟨 Joshua Zirkzee
85′
🔁 Diogo Dalot
↦ N. Mazraoui
88′
🟨 Harry Maguire
A. Gray 🔁
↦ P. Sarr
90′
D. Spence 🔁
↦ D. Udogie
90′
90′
🔁 K. Mainoo
↦ P. Dorgu
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-2-3-1
1 G. Vicario G
23 Pedro Porro D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
13 D. Udogie D
30 R. Bentancur M
8 Y. Bissouma M
22 B. Johnson M
29 P. Sarr M
9 Richarlison M
19 D. Solanke F
Bench (12)
7 Son Heung-Min
4 K. Danso
14 A. Gray
24 D. Spence
11 M. Tel
28 W. Odobert
33 B. Davies
41 A. Whiteman
44 D. Scarlett
40 B. Austin
63 D. Ajayi
47 M. Moore

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Man United

3-4-2-1
24 A. Onana G
15 L. Yoro D
5 H. Maguire D
23 L. Shaw D
3 N. Mazraoui M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
18 Casemiro M
13 P. Dorgu M
16 A. Diallo F
7 M. Mount F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (12)
17 A. Garnacho
11 J. Zirkzee
20 Diogo Dalot
37 K. Mainoo
1 A. Bayındır
41 H. Amass
2 V. Lindelöf
43 T. Collyer
14 C. Eriksen
35 J. Evans
26 A. Heaven
25 M. Ugarte

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.