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Premier League
Referee: J Gillett
Man United
T U S T S
0–2
Full-time
West Ham
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 28%
29%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
54%
49%
Both score Ø 55%
46%
63%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,23 xG 1,76
52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
3 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man United 15. · West Ham 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 +46 +44.7 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 +33 +25.8 67
3 Newcastle 36 20 6 10 +23 +17.8 66
4 Man City 36 19 8 9 +24 +18.5 65
5 Chelsea 36 18 9 9 +19 +20.7 63
6 Aston Villa 36 18 9 9 +7 +8.4 63
7 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 +12 -4.6 61
8 Brentford 36 16 7 13 +10 +1.7 55
9 Brighton 36 14 13 9 +3 +4.1 55
10 Bournemouth 36 14 11 11 +12 +14.6 53
11 Fulham 36 14 9 13 +1 +4.9 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 -4 +8.7 46
13 Everton 36 9 15 12 -5 -5.7 42
14 Wolves 36 12 5 19 -13 -13.5 41
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 -9 -4.4 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 +6 -1.0 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 -19 -11.2 37
18 Ipswich 36 4 10 22 -42 -40.3 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 -47 -38.5 21
20 Southampton 36 2 6 28 -57 -50.6 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man United West Ham
26′
T. Souček 0–1
M. Kudus
Half-time 0–1
V. Lindelöf 🔁
↦ L. Shaw
52′
H. Maguire 🔁
↦ L. Yoro
52′
57′
J. Bowen 0–2
A. Wan-Bissaka
P. Dorgu 🔁
↦ M. Ugarte
59′
A. Garnacho 🔁
↦ M. Mount
59′
61′
🟨 Aaron Cresswell
64′
🔁 Edson Álvarez
↦ G. Rodríguez
73′
🔁 Carlos Soler
↦ M. Kudus
73′
🔁 N. Füllkrug
↦ J. Bowen
C. Eriksen 🔁
↦ A. Diallo
83′
83′
🔁 Emerson
↦ V. Coufal
83′
🔁 K. Mavropanos
↦ J. Todibo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Man United

3-4-2-1
1 A. Bayındır G
3 N. Mazraoui D
15 L. Yoro D
23 L. Shaw D
16 A. Diallo M
25 M. Ugarte M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
41 H. Amass M
37 K. Mainoo F
7 M. Mount F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (9)
2 V. Lindelöf
5 H. Maguire
13 P. Dorgu
17 A. Garnacho
14 C. Eriksen
55 T. Fredricson
22 T. Heaton
18 Casemiro
56 C. Obi

Coach: Ruben Amorim

West Ham

3-4-1-2
23 A. Areola G
25 J. Todibo D
26 M. Kilman D
3 A. Cresswell D
5 V. Coufal M
8 J. Ward-Prowse M
24 G. Rodríguez M
29 A. Wan-Bissaka M
28 T. Souček F
20 J. Bowen F
14 M. Kudus F
Bench (9)
19 Edson Álvarez
4 Carlos Soler
11 N. Füllkrug
33 Emerson
15 K. Mavropanos
1 Ł. Fabiański
34 E. Ferguson
17 Luis Guilherme
10 Lucas Paquetá

Coach: G. Potter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U
3,72
B ✓
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.