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Europa League
Referee: Simovic Novak
Legia
U S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Baník Ostrava
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Baník Ostrava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -25 Baník Ostrava – Legia 2–2

Match report

Legia Baník Ostrava
15′
⚽ E. Prekop 0–1
D. Buchta
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 P. Kpozo
↦ D. Latal
M. Alfarela 🔁
↦ J. Elitim
46′
1–1 J. Nsame ⚽
B. Kapustka
54′
1–2 K. Pojezny ⚽
own goal
74′
C. Goncalves 🔁
↦ R. Morishita
76′
K. Chodyna 🔁
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
76′
79′
🔁 T. Zlatohlavek
↦ M. Sin
79′
🔁 D. Owusu
↦ D. Holzer
I. Shkurin 🔁
↦ J. Nsame
81′
Rúben Vinagre 🟨
90′
Kacper Tobiasz 🟨
91′
91′
🔁 A. Munksgaard
↦ D. Buchta
91′
🔁 L. Almasi
↦ T. Rigo
A. Jedrzejczyk 🔁
↦ R. Vinagre
93′
Bartosz Kapustka 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Legia

4-3-3
1 K. Tobiasz
7 P. Wszolek
24 J. Ziolkowski
3 S. Kapuadi
19 R. Vinagre
67 B. Kapustka
8 R. Augustyniak
22 J. Elitim
21 V. Bichakhchyan
18 J. Nsame
25 R. Morishita
Bench (12)
27 G. Kobylak
4 M. Burch
5 C. Goncalves
9 M. Alfarela
11 K. Chodyna
17 I. Shkurin
20 J. Zewlakow
23 P. Kun
28 M. Gual
30 P. Stojanovic
53 W. Urbanski
55 A. Jedrzejczyk

Coach: Edward Marius Iordănescu

Baník Ostrava

3-4-2-1
30 D. Holec
17 M. Frydrych
37 M. Chalus
6 K. Pojezny
9 D. Buchta
5 J. Boula
12 T. Rigo
95 D. Holzer
11 D. Latal
10 M. Sin
33 E. Prekop
Bench (12)
1 V. Budinsky
41 M. Kubny
15 P. Kpozo
18 M. Havran
19 D. Lischka
22 T. Zlatohlavek
25 D. Owusu
31 A. Munksgaard
21 T. Sirotek
66 M. Rusnak
77 L. Almasi
99 G. Kornezos

Coach: Pavel Hapal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.