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Europa League
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Shakhtar Donetsk
S T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Besiktas
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
4,0
6,0
Scored
3,3
2,0
Conceded
0,7
4,0
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Jul -25 Besiktas – Shakhtar Donetsk 2–4

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Besiktas
1–0 Kevin ⚽
Kaua Elias
12′
16′
🟨 Demir Ege Tıknaz
Mykola Matviyenko 🟨
37′
2–0 Kaua Elias ⚽
V. Tobias
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Hadziahmetovic
↦ D. E. Tiknaz
A. Bondarenko 🔁
↦ Marlon Gomes
56′
Newerton 🔁
↦ Kevin
56′
Pedrinho 🟨
60′
64′
🔁 S. Kilicsoy
↦ T. Abraham
L. Traore 🔁
↦ Kaua Elias
64′
G. Sudakov 🔁
↦ Pedrinho
64′
Vinícius Tobias 🟨
71′
Oleg Ocheretko 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Gabriel Paulista
Valeriy Bondar 🟨
75′
78′
🔁 T. Bingol
↦ K. Kayra Yilmaz
79′
🟨 Emirhan Topçu
G. Gocholeishvili 🔁
↦ V. Tobias
81′
87′
🔁 N. Uysal
↦ Joao Mario
87′
🔁 D. Jurasek
↦ E. Muci
Alisson Santana 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk
17 V. Tobias
5 V. Bondar
22 M. Matviienko
13 P. Henrique
6 Marlon Gomes
30 Alisson
27 O. Ocheretko
38 Pedrinho
11 Kevin
19 Kaua Elias
Bench (12)
23 K. Fesyun
2 L. Traore
7 Eguinaldo
9 M. Shved
10 G. Sudakov
12 G. Gocholeishvili
16 I. Azarovi
18 A. Ghram
21 A. Bondarenko
26 Y. Konoplya
29 Y. Nazaryna
39 Newerton

Coach: Arda Turan

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
1 M. Gunok
2 J. Svensson
3 Gabriel Paulista
14 F. Uduokhai
53 E. Topcu
5 D. E. Tiknaz
17 K. Kayra Yilmaz
18 Joao Mario
27 Rafa Silva
23 E. Muci
9 T. Abraham
Bench (12)
30 E. Destanoglu
6 A. Hadziahmetovic
7 M. Rashica
8 S. Ucan
10 O. Kokcu
11 K. Arroyo
20 N. Uysal
24 T. T. Sanuc
39 D. Jurasek
75 T. Bingol
79 E. Terzi
90 S. Kilicsoy

Coach: Ali Rıza Sergen Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.