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Europa League
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Lille
U S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Brann
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,2
Scored
2,5
3,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,57 xG 0,77
55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lille Brann
17′
🟨 Niklas Castro
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. De Roeve
↦ T. Pedersen
1–0 H. Igamane ⚽
M. Fernandez-Pardo
54′
55′
🔁 E. Gudmundsson
↦ N. Castro
60′
⚽ S. Magnusson 1–1
N. Holm
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ H. Igamane
67′
F. Correia 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
68′
69′
🟨 Sævar Atli Magnússon
72′
🔁 U. Mathisen
↦ N. Holm
A. Bouaddi 🔁
↦ N. Bentaleb
77′
2–1 O. Giroud ⚽
T. Santos
80′
A. Mandi 🔁
↦ T. Santos
87′
S. Diaoune 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
87′
87′
🔁 B. Finne
↦ S. Magnusson
87′
🔁 M. Sande
↦ E. Kornvig
Ngal'ayel Mukau 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-2
1 B. Ozer G
22 T. Santos D
18 C. Mbemba D
38 A. Goffi D
24 C. Verdonk D
17 N. Mukau M
10 H. Haraldsson M
6 N. Bentaleb M
11 O. Sahraoui M
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo F
29 H. Igamane F
Bench (10)
16 A. Bodart
50 S. Merzouk
3 N. Ngoy
9 O. Giroud
14 M. Broholm
23 A. Mandi
27 F. Correia
32 A. Bouaddi
35 S. Diaoune
37 M. Costarelli

Coach: Bruno Génésio

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
3 F. Knudsen D
26 E. Fauske Helland D
20 V. Dragsnes D
10 E. Kornvig M
18 J. Sorensen M
8 F. Myhre M
22 S. Magnusson F
29 N. Holm F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (10)
12 T. Bramel
24 M. Klausen
4 N. Boakye
6 J. Sery Larsen
7 M. Hansen
11 B. Finne
14 U. Mathisen
19 E. Gudmundsson
21 D. De Roeve
27 M. Sande

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.