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Coppa Italia

Referee: Federico Dionisi

Genoa

S U T U T

3–1

Full-time

Empoli

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Empoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 17

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 9. · Empoli 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Virtus Entella	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Venezia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Parma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Pescara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Spezia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Verona	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
25	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Udinese	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Parma	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Audace Cerignola	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Venezia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Virtus Entella	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Pescara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vicenza	2	1	0	1	-1	3
2	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-2	3
3	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Reggiana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Palermo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rimini	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-3	0
21	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Mantova	1	0	0	1	-4	0
23	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.