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Europa League
Referee: Vassilis Fotias
Salzburg
S S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Porto
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,26 xG 1,41
43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Salzburg Porto
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 🟨
16′
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 William Gomes
↦ Pepê
53′
🔁 M. Fernandes
↦ Zaidu
53′
🔁 F. Moura
↦ G. Veiga
Petar Ratkov ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
58′
S. Kitano 🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
65′
K. Onisiwo 🔁
↦ M. K. Yeo
65′
Y. Vertessen 🔁
↦ P. Ratkov
65′
M. Kjaergaard 🔁
↦ K. Alajbegovic
65′
66′
🔁 R. Mora
↦ A. Varela
77′
🔁 D. Gul
↦ Samu
Jacob Rasmussen 🟨
80′
Maurits Kjaergaard 🟨
83′
Yorbe Vertessen 🟨
86′
90′
⚽ William Gomes 0–1
M. Fernandes
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
92′
93′
🟨 William Gomes
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 A. Schlager G
22 S. Lainer D
23 J. Gadou D
2 J. Rasmussen D
3 A. Terzic D
18 M. Bidstrup M
5 S. Diabate M
49 M. K. Yeo M
27 K. Alajbegovic M
21 P. Ratkov F
20 E. Baidoo F
Bench (12)
52 C. Zawieschitzky
92 S. Hamzic
8 S. Kitano
9 K. Onisiwo
11 Y. Vertessen
13 F. Kratzig
14 M. Kjaergaard
15 M. Diambou
29 L. Gourna-Douath
37 T. Trummer
43 E. Aguilar
48 R. Zikovic

Coach: Thomas Letsch

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
13 P. Rosario D
5 J. Bednarek D
4 J. Kiwior D
12 Zaidu D
8 V. Froholdt M
22 A. Varela M
10 G. Veiga M
11 Pepê F
9 Samu F
17 B. Sainz F
Bench (12)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
7 William Gomes
20 A. Costa
21 D. Prpic
27 D. Gul
47 A. Alarcon
52 M. Fernandes
73 G. Bras
74 F. Moura
86 R. Mora
92 J. Teixeira

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Vassilis Fotias · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.