Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rakow
Lechia Gdansk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Rakow
|
33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | +27 | 66 |
| 3 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | +32 | 64 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | +16 | 57 |
| 5 |
Piast Gliwice
|
33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | +8 | 53 |
| 6 |
Radomiak Radom
|
33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | +2 | 47 |
| 7 |
Cracovia
|
33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Wisla Plock
|
33 | 14 | 3 | 16 | -6 | 45 |
| 9 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Legia
|
33 | 12 | 4 | 17 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 |
Warta Poznan
|
33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 |
Zaglebie
|
33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 |
Stal Mielec
|
33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 37 |
| 14 |
Jagiellonia
|
33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | -9 | 35 |
| 16 |
Wisla
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -16 | 31 |
| 17 |
Nieciecza
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Leczna | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -30 | 28 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Zaglebie
Rakow
Rakow
Cracovia
Rakow
Pogon Szczecin
Rakow
Nieciecza
Rakow
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.