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Ekstraklasa
Rakow
S S S U T
3–0
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 53%
58%
48%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Rakow 2. · Lechia Gdansk 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 33 21 8 4 +42 71
2 Rakow 33 19 9 5 +27 66
3 Pogon Szczecin 33 18 10 5 +32 64
4 Lechia Gdansk 33 16 9 8 +16 57
5 Piast Gliwice 33 15 8 10 +8 53
6 Radomiak Radom 33 11 14 8 +2 47
7 Cracovia 33 12 10 11 +1 46
8 Wisla Plock 33 14 3 16 -6 45
9 Gornik Zabrze 33 12 8 13 -1 44
10 Legia 33 12 4 17 -5 40
11 Warta Poznan 33 10 9 14 -4 39
12 Zaglebie 33 11 5 17 -15 38
13 Stal Mielec 33 9 10 14 -10 37
14 Jagiellonia 33 8 13 12 -12 37
15 Slask Wroclaw 33 7 14 12 -9 35
16 Wisla 33 7 10 16 -16 31
17 Nieciecza 33 7 10 16 -20 31
18 Leczna 33 6 10 17 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.