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Conference League
Referee: D Strukan
CSKA Sofia
U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Basel
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

CSKA Sofia Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 21%
25%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

CSKA Sofia Basel
23′
🟨 Kasim Adams
30′
🟨 Zeki Amdouni
Half-time 0–0
D. Bamba 🔁
↦ B. Moreno
59′
L. Tufegdžić 🔁
↦ G. Yomov
68′
0–1 Sergio López ⚽
own goal
70′
Ivan Turitsov 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 Á. Szalai
↦ W. Burger
81′
🟨 Andy Diouf
Thibaut Vion 🟨
82′
Geferson 🔁
↦ T. Vion
83′
85′
🟨 Sergio López
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

CSKA Sofia

4-1-4-1
1 Busatto G
19 I. Turitsov D
2 J. Mattheij D
4 M. Koch D
6 H. Petrov D
21 A. Youga M
10 G. Yomov M
15 T. Vion M
7 J. Lindseth M
27 Garcez M
28 B. Moreno
Bench (12)
30 D. Bamba
11 L. Tufegdžić
3 Geferson
23 R. Zhivkov
14 K. Krastev
16 A. Donchev
9 D. Nazon
20 Y. Baurenski
25 D. Evtimov
22 E. Mahmutovic
13 G. Minkov
12 A. Bozhev

Coach: S. Ilić

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
22 Sergio López D
4 Arnau Comas D
15 K. Nuhu D
21 A. Pelmard D
8 A. Diouf M
23 W. Burger M
27 D. Ndoye M
20 F. Frei M
7 L. Millar M
9 Z. Amdouni F
Bench (11)
11 Á. Szalai
96 Joelson Fernandes
40 L. Chipperfield
24 T. Tushi
13 M. Salvi
34 T. Xhaka
6 N. Djiga
3 N. Katterbach
16 N. de Mol
42 S. Ltaief
19 D. Males

Coach: A. Frei

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Strukan · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.