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Conference League
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
AZ Alkmaar
S T S S S
4–0
Full-time
Gil Vicente
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
13 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Gil Vicente
1–0 D. de Wit ⚽
24′
Miloš Kerkez 🟨
42′
Sam Beukema 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Henrique Gomes
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Giorgi Aburjania
61′
🔁 Kevin Villodres
↦ Élder Santana
61′
🔁 Matheus Bueno
↦ G. Aburjania
M. Lahdo 🔁
↦ M. van Brederode
72′
M. de Wit 🔁
↦ M. Kerkez
72′
Dani de Wit 🟨
74′
Vangelis Pavlidis 🟨
75′
78′
🔁 Lucas Cunha
↦ Tomás Araújo
2–0 M. Lahdo ⚽
78′
3–0 Vangelis Pavlidis ⚽
85′
86′
🔁 J. Boselli
↦ M. Arai
86′
🔁 Carraça
↦ Danilo Veiga
Y. Sugawara 🔁
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
87′
Y. Barası 🔁
↦ Vangelis Pavlidis
87′
4–0 M. de Wit ⚽
89′
90′
🟨 Juan Manuel Boselli
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
4 B. Martins Indi D
5 M. Kerkez D
8 J. Clasie M
6 T. Reijnders M
18 H. Evjen M
10 D. de Wit M
33 M. van Brederode M
9 Vangelis Pavlidis F
Bench (11)
23 M. Lahdo
34 M. de Wit
2 Y. Sugawara
17 Y. Barası
32 F. de Jong
1 P. Vindahl
15 A. Witry
13 S. Westerveld
22 M. Dekker
28 Z. Buurmeester
14 P. Koopmeiners

Coach: P. Jansen

Gil Vicente

4-4-2
42 Andrew G
78 Danilo Veiga D
72 Tomás Araújo D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
55 Henrique Gomes D
10 K. Fujimoto M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
8 G. Aburjania M
18 M. Arai M
30 A. Alipourghara F
93 Élder Santana F
Bench (10)
17 Kevin Villodres
57 Matheus Bueno
3 Lucas Cunha
20 J. Boselli
15 Carraça
25 Pedro Tiba
9 Fran Navarro
12 Brian Araújo
19 Adrián Marín
11 Boubacar Hanne

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.