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Europa League
Referee: I Kružliak
Ludogorets
S S T T T
1–0
Full-time
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Ludogorets FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0–1 I. Tatomirović ⚽
own goal
2′
35′
🟨 Oliver Buff
42′
🟨 Saulius Mikoliūnas
Half-time 0–1
Anton Nedyalkov 🟨
46′
M. Tissera 🔁
↦ S. Delev
66′
72′
🔁 D. Kazlauskas
↦ M. Oyewusi
72′
🔁 M. Milićković
↦ K. Kažukolovas
72′
🔁 J. Tadić
↦ Renan Oliveira
78′
🟨 Donatas Kazlauskas
Jorginho 🔁
↦ B. Tekpetey
79′
Show 🔁
↦ Thiago
79′
Ivan Yordanov 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 G. Jarusevičius
↦ O. Buff
Kiril Despodov 🟨
86′
Matías Tissera 🟨
88′
P. Georgiev 🔁
↦ I. Yordanov
90′
93′
🔁 M. Kuklys
↦ F. Ourega
94′
🟨 Donatas Kazlauskas
94′
🟥 Donatas Kazlauskas
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-3-3
12 S. Sluga G
4 Cicinho D
24 O. Verdon D
14 D. Gropper D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
82 I. Yordanov M
6 J. Piotrowski M
90 S. Delev F
11 K. Despodov M
9 Thiago F
37 B. Tekpetey F
Bench (11)
10 M. Tissera
17 Jorginho
23 Show
75 P. Georgiev
1 S. Padt
79 T. Dimitrov
32 I. Plastun
74 H. Kelyovluev
67 D. Hristov
5 G. Terziev
38 V. Naydenov

Coach: A. Šimundža

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
1 E. Gertmonas G
3 M. Pavelić D
4 K. Kažukolovas D
15 I. Tatomirović D
13 S. Mikoliūnas M
99 M. Oyewusi F
5 N. Gorobsov M
23 O. Buff M
26 N. Ljubisavljević D
92 F. Ourega M
10 Renan Oliveira F
Bench (9)
9 D. Kazlauskas
33 M. Milićković
27 J. Tadić
96 G. Jarusevičius
88 M. Kuklys
25 T. Duka
6 D. Kashken
24 M. Burba
81 M. Mikulenas

Coach: V. Cheburin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.