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Conference League
Referee: G Nyberg
Lazio
S S U S S
1–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/12 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 21%
0%
42%
Average goals
0,5
3,2
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,32 xG 0,69
52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
12 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lazio AZ Alkmaar
1–0 Pedro ⚽
M. Zaccagni
18′
45′
⚽ V. Pavlidis 1–1
J. Karlsson
Half-time 1–1
A. Romagnoli 🔁
↦ N. Casale
46′
62′
⚽ M. Kerkez 1–2
J. Karlsson
M. Cancellieri 🔁
↦ Pedro
70′
M. Vecino 🔁
↦ D. Cataldi
70′
72′
🟨 Jordy Clasie
74′
🟨 Miloš Kerkez
82′
🔁 M. van Brederode
↦ J. Karlsson
82′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ M. Kerkez
82′
🔁 M. Meerdink
↦ V. Pavlidis
83′
🔁 D. Mihailovic
↦ J. Odgaard
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
1 Luís Maximiano G
29 M. Lazzari D
15 N. Casale D
4 Patric D
77 A. Marušić D
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
32 D. Cataldi M
10 Luis Alberto M
9 Pedro F
7 Felipe Anderson F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (11)
13 A. Romagnoli
11 M. Cancellieri
5 M. Vecino
88 T. Bašić
18 L. Romero
94 I. Provedel
3 L. Pellegrini
34 Mario Gila
23 E. Hysaj
6 Marcos Antônio
61 F. Magro

Coach: M. Sarri

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
46 W. Goes D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 M. Kerkez D
6 T. Reijnders M
8 J. Clasie M
7 J. Odgaard M
16 S. Mijnans M
11 J. Karlsson M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (10)
19 M. van Brederode
34 M. de Wit
35 M. Meerdink
14 D. Mihailovic
17 Y. Barası
12 H. Verhulst
23 M. Lahdo
45 R. Owusu-Oduro
43 L. Schouten
28 Z. Buurmeester

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.