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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Feyenoord
S U U U S
2–1
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,8
Scored
2,0
3,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 62%
62%
62%
Points per game
2,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
48%
62%
Both score Ø 64%
57%
71%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · AZ Alkmaar 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 21 13 7 1 +28 46
2 AZ Alkmaar 21 13 5 3 +21 44
3 Ajax 21 12 7 2 +37 43
4 PSV Eindhoven 21 13 3 5 +30 42
5 Twente 19 11 6 2 +23 39
6 Sparta Rotterdam 19 10 6 3 +16 36
7 Utrecht 20 8 6 6 -2 30
8 Waalwijk 22 7 8 7 +0 29
9 For Sittard 22 7 5 10 -9 26
10 Nijmegen 21 4 12 5 +2 24
11 Heerenveen 20 6 6 8 -4 24
12 Vitesse 22 5 8 9 -12 23
13 Go Ahead Eagles 21 5 7 9 -8 22
14 Volendam 22 5 5 12 -24 20
15 Excelsior 21 6 2 13 -28 20
16 FC Emmen 22 3 8 11 -20 17
17 Groningen 22 3 5 14 -26 14
18 Cambuur 21 3 4 14 -24 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar
17′
J. Dilrosun 1–0
own goal
23′
🟨 Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Mats Wieffer 🟨
28′
36′
🟨 Vangelis Pavlidis
Santiago Giménez 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Jahanbakhsh
O. Idrissi
47′
Oussama Idrissi 🟨
50′
Igor Paixão 🔁
↦ O. Idrissi
54′
69′
🔁 M. de Wit
↦ M. Kerkez
M. Taabouni 🔁
↦ Q. Timber
70′
75′
🟨 Wouter Goes
79′
🔁 M. van Brederode
↦ J. Odgaard
Danilo 🔁
↦ J. Dilrosun
81′
84′
🔁 D. Mihailovic
↦ T. Reijnders
3–0 M. Pedersen
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
22 T. Wellenreuther G
2 M. Pedersen D
4 L. Geertruida D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
8 Q. Timber M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh M
11 J. Dilrosun M
26 O. Idrissi M
29 S. Giménez F
Bench (10)
14 Igor Paixão
25 M. Taabouni
9 Danilo
15 M. López
30 E. Bullaude
21 O. Marciano
28 N. Kasanwirjo
6 J. Rasmussen
49 T. Troost
48 A. Milambo

Coach: A. Slot

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
2 Y. Sugawara D
46 W. Goes D
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 M. Kerkez D
6 T. Reijnders M
8 J. Clasie M
16 S. Mijnans M
7 J. Odgaard M
11 J. Karlsson M
9 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (9)
34 M. de Wit
19 M. van Brederode
14 D. Mihailovic
23 M. Lahdo
17 Y. Barası
45 R. Owusu-Oduro
28 Z. Buurmeester
12 H. Verhulst
32 F. de Jong

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,93
B
4,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.