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Conference League
Referee: R Valikonis
Derry City
T T U S
2–1
Full-time
KuPS
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derry City KuPS
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4 Corners 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Derry City KuPS
Brandon Kavanagh 🟨
16′
19′
🟨 Axel Vidjeskog
Mark Connolly 🟨
43′
45′
A. Vidjeskog 0–1
Half-time 0–1
P. McMullan 🔁
↦ B. Kavanagh
61′
68′
🔁 P. Lampinen
↦ J. Tuominen
68′
🔁 J. Jervis
↦ S. Savolainen
C. Kavanagh 🔁
↦ J. McGonigle
69′
1–1 W. Patching
69′
73′
🔁 Gabriel Bispo
↦ A. Vidjeskog
2–1 C. Kavanagh
79′
S. Diallo 🔁
↦ W. Patching
85′
A. O'Reilly 🔁
↦ P. McEleney
85′
88′
🔁 A. Heinonen
↦ U. Nissilä
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Derry City

4-3-3
1 B. Maher G
2 R. Boyce D
6 M. Connolly D
17 C. McJannet D
14 B. Doherty D
10 P. McEleney M
23 C. Dummigan D
8 W. Patching M
20 B. Kavanagh M
9 J. McGonigle F
7 M. Duffy M
Bench (10)
12 P. McMullan
29 C. Kavanagh
15 S. Diallo
28 A. O'Reilly
22 J. McEneff
21 D. Mullen
45 J. Lemoignan
3 C. Coll
16 S. McEleney
26 T. Ryan

Coach: R. Higgins

KuPS

4-3-3
1 J. Kreidl G
18 S. Saarinen D
22 H. Toivomäki D
33 T. Hämäläinen D
38 T. Miettinen D
26 A. Vidjeskog M
13 J. Oksanen M
10 U. Nissilä M
6 S. Savolainen D
23 T. Yengi F
9 J. Tuominen F
Bench (8)
11 P. Lampinen
44 J. Jervis
19 Gabriel Bispo
17 A. Heinonen
12 H. Riihimäki
8 S. Dahlström
16 S. Miettinen
37 M. Pitkänen

Coach: J. Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.