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Conference League
Referee: L Bilbija
Lech Poznan
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Kauno Žalgiris
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Kauno Žalgiris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

4 Corners 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lech Poznan Kauno Žalgiris
1–0 D. Hotić ⚽
10′
2–0 A. Milić ⚽
41′
J. Karlström 🔁
↦ F. Marchwiński
42′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 R. Murawski ⚽
47′
57′
⚽ A. Fase 3–1
M. Ishak 🔁
↦ D. Hotić
58′
B. Douglas 🔁
↦ E. Andersson
58′
60′
🔁 A. Dolžnikov
↦ A. Kučys
60′
🔁 K. Šilkaitis
↦ V. Armanavičius
65′
🔁 E. Kloniūnas
↦ M. Dapkus
80′
🔁 A. Karvatskyi
↦ R. Latouchent
80′
🔁 N. Valskis
↦ Xabi Auzmendi
81′
🟨 Edvinas Girdvainis
F. Wilak 🔁
↦ F. Szymczak
83′
A. Sobiech 🔁
↦ Afonso Sousa
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-1-4-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
23 M. Blažič D
16 A. Milić D
5 E. Andersson D
22 R. Murawski M
21 D. Hotić M
10 F. Marchwiński M
7 Afonso Sousa M
11 K. Velde M
17 F. Szymczak F
Bench (8)
6 J. Karlström
9 M. Ishak
3 B. Douglas
54 F. Wilak
90 A. Sobiech
15 M. Gurgul
44 A. Czerwiński
41 B. Mrozek

Coach: J. van den Brom

Kauno Žalgiris

4-3-3
22 D. Mikelionis G
43 J. Noslin D
99 M. Spano D
93 E. Girdvainis D
70 R. Latouchent D
17 V. Armanavičius M
4 M. Dapkus M
14 K. Uzėla M
11 Xabi Auzmendi F
47 A. Kučys F
88 A. Fase F
Bench (10)
7 A. Dolžnikov
15 K. Šilkaitis
80 E. Kloniūnas
97 A. Karvatskyi
9 N. Valskis
12 A. Bražinskas
30 N. Vosylius
13 I. Plūkas
18 M. Sincere
83 P. Nainys

Coach: M. Stankevičius

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.