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Conference League
Referee: B Saryev
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ararat-Armenia Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
25%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3 Corners 3
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ararat-Armenia Aris Thessalonikis
1–0 W. Eza
11′
20′
L. Palma 1–1
José Junior Bueno 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 D. Moberg Karlsson
↦ J. Menéndez
53′
🟨 Jean Jules Mvondo
K. Muradyan 🔁
↦ A. Tera
55′
59′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ A. Gray
A. Ambartsumyan 🔁
↦ Adriano Castanheira
65′
67′
🔁 N. Đurasek
↦ J. Jules
67′
🔁 D. Pavičić
↦ L. Rupp
A. Avanesyan 🔁
↦ W. Eza
73′
M. Gbomadu 🔁
↦ A. Serobyan
73′
81′
🟨 Loren Morón
Artem Avanesyan 🟨
84′
85′
🟨 Luis Palma
85′
🔁 F. Ferrari
↦ L. Palma
Edgar Grigoryan 🟨
94′
96′
🟨 Julián Cuesta
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
45 V. Ermakov G
2 Alemão D
3 J. Julio D
41 Cássio Scheid D
16 E. Grigoryan D
12 A. Obiero M
7 Adriano Castanheira M
20 A. Tera M
9 A. Serobyan F
88 W. Eza F
15 T. Yenne F
Bench (12)
19 K. Muradyan
10 A. Ambartsumyan
18 A. Avanesyan
17 M. Gbomadu
8 G. Ghazaryan
14 Léo Silva
1 R. Manasyan
24 A. Beglaryan
36 M. Ayvazyan
55 H. Hakobyan
32 C. Pérez
5 D. Terteryan

Coach: V. Minasyan

Aris Thessalonikis

23 Julián G
2 S. M'Bakata D
4 Fabiano D
22 M. Odubajo D
13 R. Matarrita D
16 V. Darida M
30 J. Jules M
10 L. Rupp M
27 J. Menéndez F
9 A. Gray F
17 L. Palma M
Bench (9)
32 D. Moberg Karlsson
80 Loren Morón
20 N. Đurasek
24 D. Pavičić
3 F. Ferrari
7 L. Christodoulopoulos
77 M. Panagidis
94 L. Choutesiotis
11 K. Saverio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.