← Match Finder
Conference League
Referee: M Guida
Aston Villa
S S T S U
2–4
Full-time
Olympiakos
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Aston Villa Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,3
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,43 xG 1,26
66% Possession 34%
17 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Aston Villa Olympiakos
16′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 0–1
Chiquinho
17′
ℹ️ Ayoub El Kaabi
VAR: Goal confirmed
29′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 0–2
Daniel Podence
Half-time 1–2
1–2 O. Watkins ⚽
M. Diaby
46′
46′
🔁 O. Richards
↦ F. Ortega
2–2 M. Diaby ⚽
L. Bailey
52′
56′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 2–3
67′
⚽ S. Hezze 2–4
Daniel Podence
70′
🔁 André Horta
↦ Daniel Podence
J. Durán 🔁
↦ M. Rogers
74′
Moussa Diaby 🟨
83′
83′
🟨 Kostas Fortounis
N. Zaniolo 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
84′
T. Iroegbunam 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
85′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
25 R. Olsen G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
17 C. Lenglet D
12 L. Digne D
7 J. McGinn M
6 Douglas Luiz M
31 L. Bailey M
19 M. Diaby M
27 M. Rogers M
11 O. Watkins F
Bench (11)
24 J. Durán
22 N. Zaniolo
47 T. Iroegbunam
14 Pau Torres
29 K. Kesler-Hayden
71 O. Kellyman
64 J. Wright
18 J. Gauci
3 Diego Carlos
69 F. Munroe
72 K. Young

Coach: Unai Emery

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
8 Iborra M
32 S. Hezze M
7 K. Fortounis M
6 Chiquinho M
56 Daniel Podence M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (10)
27 O. Richards
5 André Horta
20 João Carvalho
1 A. Paschalakis
99 T. Papadoudis
18 Quini
15 S. Alexandropoulos
22 S. Jovetić
11 Y. El-Arabi
70 V. Prekates

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.