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Super League
Referee: R Obrenović
Aris Thessalonikis
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 32/35 matches
Win Ø 57%
44%
69%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
44%
71%
Both score Ø 46%
41%
51%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 23
5 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 11
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 6. · Olympiakos 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 36 24 10 2 +46 82
2 Panathinaikos 35 24 5 6 +54 77
3 Olympiakos 35 24 4 7 +46 76
4 PAOK 35 21 6 8 +44 69
5 Aris 33 14 7 12 +5 49
6 Aris Thessalonikis 32 14 6 12 +5 48
7 Lamia 36 10 9 17 -29 39
8 OFI Crete 33 8 13 12 -13 37
9 Atromitos 33 8 13 12 -15 37
10 Asteras Tripolis 33 11 4 18 -16 37
11 Panserraikos 33 8 12 13 -18 36
12 Panetolikos 33 7 9 17 -22 30
13 Volos NFC 33 7 9 17 -24 30
14 Kifisia 33 5 12 16 -31 27
15 Giannina 33 3 11 19 -32 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Apr -24 Olympiakos – Aris Thessalonikis 3–0 21. Jan -24 Aris Thessalonikis – Olympiakos 1–2 27. Sep -23 Olympiakos – Aris Thessalonikis 4–1 26. Apr -23 Aris Thessalonikis – Olympiakos 2–1 2. Apr -23 Olympiakos – Aris Thessalonikis 2–2

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
10′
ℹ️ Gelson Martins
VAR: Goal cancelled
11′
🟨 Gelson Martins
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Loren Morón ⚽
48′
53′
⚽ A. El Kaabi 1–1
Á. Zamora 🔁
↦ K. Saverio
60′
Manu García 🔁
↦ G. Fetfatzidis
60′
68′
🔁 Daniel Podence
↦ S. Jovetić
68′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ S. Hezze
79′
🔁 Fran Navarro
↦ Gelson Martins
Álvaro Zamora 🟨
82′
87′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ A. El Kaabi
L. Rose 🔁
↦ V. Darida
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
33 Martín Montoya D
16 V. Darida M
30 J. Jules M
93 M. Suleymanov M
19 G. Fetfatzidis M
11 K. Saverio M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
12 Á. Zamora
6 Manu García
92 L. Rose
20 N. Đurasek
21 Rubén Pardo
18 Valentino Fattore
8 C. Doukouré
77 M. Panagidis
94 L. Choutesiotis

Coach: A. Mantzios

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
74 A. Ntoi D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
8 Iborra M
32 S. Hezze M
10 Gelson Martins M
22 S. Jovetić M
7 K. Fortounis M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (9)
56 Daniel Podence
6 Chiquinho
29 Fran Navarro
11 Y. El-Arabi
20 João Carvalho
18 Quini
14 Rúben Vezo
19 G. Masouras
1 A. Paschalakis

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.