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Europa League
Referee: F Letexier
Roma
S S T S U
0–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 69%
58%
80%
Points per game
2,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
42%
60%
Both score Ø 51%
42%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,40 xG 2,08
53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. May -23 Leverkusen – Roma 0–0 11. May -23 Roma – Leverkusen 1–0

Match report

Roma Leverkusen
16′
🟨 Jonathan Tah
28′
⚽ F. Wirtz 0–1
Álex Grimaldo
Lorenzo Pellegrini 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
Angeliño 🔁
↦ R. Karsdorp
62′
73′
⚽ R. Andrich 0–2
J. Stanišić
Leonardo Spinazzola 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Granit Xhaka
76′
🟨 Robert Andrich
Bryan Cristante 🟨
77′
77′
🔁 N. Tella
↦ A. Adli
77′
🔁 J. Hofmann
↦ F. Wirtz
S. Azmoun 🔁
↦ R. Lukaku
79′
T. Baldanzi 🔁
↦ L. Paredes
79′
88′
🔁 E. Palacios
↦ J. Frimpong
T. Abraham 🔁
↦ P. Dybala
91′
93′
🔁 O. Kossounou
↦ Álex Grimaldo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Roma

4-3-3
99 M. Svilar G
2 R. Karsdorp D
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
37 L. Spinazzola D
4 B. Cristante M
16 L. Paredes M
7 L. Pellegrini M
21 P. Dybala F
90 R. Lukaku F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
Bench (12)
69 Angeliño
17 S. Azmoun
35 T. Baldanzi
9 T. Abraham
14 Diego Llorente
63 P. Boer
20 Renato Sanches
52 E. Bove
1 Rui Patrício
59 N. Zalewski
22 H. Aouar
5 E. Ndicka

Coach: D. De Rossi

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
17 M. Kovář G
12 E. Tapsoba D
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Hincapié D
2 J. Stanišić M
8 R. Andrich M
34 G. Xhaka M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
30 J. Frimpong F
21 A. Adli F
10 F. Wirtz F
Bench (12)
19 N. Tella
7 J. Hofmann
25 E. Palacios
6 O. Kossounou
22 V. Boniface
23 A. Hložek
9 Borja Iglesias
14 P. Schick
36 N. Lomb
13 Arthur
1 L. Hrádecký
32 G. Puerta

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.