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Conference League
Referee: H Vidoy
Crusaders FC
U S U T T
3–1
Full-time
Caernarfon Town
S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crusaders FC Caernarfon Town
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -24 Caernarfon Town – Crusaders FC 2–0

Match report

Crusaders FC Caernarfon Town
24′
⚽ Paulo Mendes 0–1
J. Forsythe 🔁
↦ J. Blaney
35′
Half-time 0–1
B. Kennedy 🔁
↦ S. Nixon
46′
1–1 R. Clarke ⚽
46′
2–1 D. Larmour ⚽
49′
55′
🔁 J. Faux
↦ M. Hill
J. Teelan 🔁
↦ R. Clarke
69′
3–1 P. Lowry ⚽
72′
Daniel Larmour 🟨
75′
J. Boyd 🔁
↦ K. Offord
78′
J. Owens 🔁
↦ A. Lecky
78′
Jordan Forsythe 🟨
86′
Robbie Weir 🟨
89′
102′
🔁 M. Williams
↦ D. Thomas
102′
🔁 S. Downey
↦ P. Mooney
102′
🔁 O. Evans
↦ L. Lloyd
Jay Boyd 🟨
110′
4–1 B. Kennedy ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ D. Gosset 4–2
5–2 J. Forsythe ⚽
123′
124′
⚽ Paulo Mendes 5–3
6–3 D. Larmour ⚽
125′
126′
⚽ M. Owen 6–4
7–4 J. Boyd ⚽
127′
128′
⚽ Z. Clarke 7–5
8–5 J. Teelan ⚽
129′
130′
⚽ J. Faux 8–6
9–6 J. O'Rourke ⚽
131′
132′
⚽ S. McMullan 9–7
10–7 P. Lowry ⚽
133′
134′
⚽ S. Downey 10–8
L. Barr ❌
penalty missed
135′
136′
❌ G. Williams
penalty missed
J. Owens ❌
penalty missed
137′
138′
⚽ M. Williams 10–9
Full-time 10–9

Line-ups

Crusaders FC

5-4-1
33 J. Tuffey G
17 K. Offord F
7 P. Lowry M
25 R. Clarke M
43 L. Barr F
20 D. Larmour D
6 R. Weir M
9 A. Lecky F
12 J. Blaney M
15 J. O'Rourke D
27 S. Nixon F
Bench (10)
14 J. Forsythe
8 B. Kennedy
11 J. Teelan
28 J. Boyd
18 J. Owens
26 R. Donnelly
62 J. James
41 R. Kerr
10 J. Stewart
23 B. Vance

Coach: S. Baxter

Caernarfon Town

4-2-3-1
1 S. McMullan G
2 M. Owen M
4 G. Williams D
27 R. Sears M
5 P. Mooney D
18 Paulo Mendes M
8 D. Gosset M
20 L. Lloyd M
10 D. Thomas M
15 M. Hill F
7 Z. Clarke F
Bench (7)
21 J. Faux
14 M. Williams
17 S. Downey
16 O. Evans
3 M. Jones
13 H. Thomas
30 T. Pritchard

Coach: R. Davies

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.