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Conference League
Referee: A Farkas
Rosenborg
T S S U S
3–2
Full-time
Crusaders FC
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Crusaders FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

23 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
17 Corners 9
15 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 9
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -23 Crusaders FC – Rosenborg 2–2

Match report

Rosenborg Crusaders FC
1–0 J. Nelson ⚽
33′
45′
⚽ P. Lowry 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Lecky
↦ J. Winchester
Adrian Nilsen Pereira 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Adam Lecky
60′
🟨 Philip Lowry
65′
🟨 Jonathan Tuffey
72′
🟨 Paul Heatley
79′
🟨 Billy Joe Burns
Í. Þorvaldsson 🔁
↦ E. Tagseth
82′
82′
🔁 L. Anderson
↦ R. Clarke
S. Väänänen 🔁
↦ O. Sæter
94′
P. Skjelbred 🔁
↦ S. Nypan
101′
2–1 Í. Þorvaldsson ⚽
102′
M. Holte 🔁
↦ Í. Þorvaldsson
105′
H. Røsten 🔁
↦ J. Nelson
105′
105′
⚽ P. Heatley 2–2
108′
🟨 Paul Heatley
108′
🟥 Paul Heatley
3–2 L. Cornic ⚽
108′
110′
🔁 J. Owens
↦ A. Lecky
110′
🔁 J. Teelan
↦ B. Kennedy
116′
🟨 Jordan Owens
118′
🔁 R. Weir
↦ J. Forsythe
120′
🟨 Jarlath O'Rourke
122′
🟨 James Teelan
Erlend Dahl Reitan 🟨
123′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 A. Hansen G
32 L. Cornic M
2 E. Reitan D
23 U. Yttergård Jenssen D
19 A. Pereira M
41 S. Nypan M
8 T. Børkeeiet M
20 E. Tagseth M
10 C. Holse M
9 O. Sæter F
11 J. Nelson F
Bench (7)
17 Í. Þorvaldsson
6 S. Väänänen
5 P. Skjelbred
44 M. Holte
16 H. Røsten
24 S. Tangvik
15 S. Rogers

Coach: S. Maalen

Crusaders FC

4-4-2
33 J. Tuffey G
20 D. Larmour D
7 P. Lowry M
2 B. Burns D
14 J. Forsythe M
8 B. Kennedy M
19 J. Winchester M
22 P. Heatley F
25 R. Clarke F
23 R. McKeown D
15 J. O'Rourke M
Bench (9)
9 A. Lecky
42 L. Anderson
18 J. Owens
11 J. Teelan
6 R. Weir
21 M. Smith
24 J. Robinson
1 J. Williamson
17 M. Kennedy

Coach: S. Baxter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.