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Conference League
Referee: E Maļcevs
Ilves
S T
1–1
Full-time
Djurgarden
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ilves Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,2
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Ilves Djurgarden
Santeri Haarala 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 P. Therkildsen
↦ A. Ståhl
Juhani Pikkarainen 🟨
47′
57′
⚽ G. Wikheim 0–1
M. Söderbäck 🔁
↦ O. Jukkola
61′
R. Riski 🔁
↦ L. Ala-Myllymäki
61′
64′
🟨 Besard Sabović
1–1 R. Riski ⚽
65′
73′
🔁 H. Radetinac
↦ R. Schüller
73′
🔁 V. Bergh
↦ G. Wikheim
73′
🔁 A. Priske
↦ D. Hümmet
83′
🔁 P. Åslund
↦ O. Fallenius
A. Kanté 🔁
↦ D. Arifi
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ilves

4-3-3
12 V. Seppä G
22 A. Mäenpää D
16 T. Miettunen D
5 J. Pikkarainen D
3 Jorginho D
14 A. Popovitch M
15 L. Ala-Myllymäki M
6 D. Arifi M
19 O. Jukkola M
7 J. Veteli M
29 S. Haarala F
Bench (11)
17 M. Söderbäck
10 R. Riski
24 A. Kanté
26 T. Sovelius
27 J. Riissanen
44 J. Akpudje
32 L. Väyrynen
2 M. Kivikko
1 O. Virtanen
31 D. Bulgakov
25 A. Tulehmo

Coach: J. Rantanen

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Widell Zetterström G
18 A. Ståhl M
5 M. Tenho D
3 M. Danielson D
27 K. Kosugi D
6 R. Schüller M
14 B. Šabović M
15 O. Fallenius M
16 T. Gulliksen M
23 G. Wikheim M
11 D. Hümmet F
Bench (9)
17 P. Therkildsen
9 H. Radetinac
19 V. Bergh
26 A. Priske
22 P. Åslund
40 M. Croon
7 M. Eriksson
10 S. Leach Holm
30 M. Nilsson Säfqvist

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.