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Europa League
Referee: F Glova
Panathinaikos
T T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Ajax
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Panathinaikos Ajax
28′
⚽ S. Berghuis 0–1
K. Fitz-Jim
Half-time 0–1
Daniel Mancini 🟨
47′
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
47′
57′
🔁 A. Gaaei
↦ S. Berghuis
57′
🔁 M. Godts
↦ Carlos Forbs
59′
🟨 Josip Šutalo
G. Baldock 🔁
↦ G. Kotsiras
63′
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ A. Jeremejeff
63′
Tetê 🔁
↦ D. Mancini
64′
67′
🔁 B. Traoré
↦ C. Akpom
67′
🔁 B. van den Boomen
↦ K. Fitz-Jim
Fotis Ioannidis 🟨
75′
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ A. Gnezda Čerin
76′
Willian Arão 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 B. Brobbey
↦ K. Taylor
Filip Đuričić 🟨
84′
D. Limnios 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
69 B. Drągowski G
27 G. Kotsiras D
15 S. Ingason D
21 T. Jedvaj D
25 F. Mladenović D
16 A. Gnezda Čerin M
55 Willian Arão M
17 D. Mancini M
11 A. Bakasetas M
31 F. Đuričić M
29 A. Jeremejeff F
Bench (12)
32 G. Baldock
7 F. Ioannidis
10 Tetê
20 N. Maksimović
18 D. Limnios
6 Zeca
5 B. Schenkeveld
9 A. Šporar
36 G. Katris
1 Y. Lodygin
52 T. Vilhena
81 K. Lilo

Coach: D. Alonso

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
2 D. Rensch D
37 J. Šutalo D
15 Y. Baas D
4 J. Hato D
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
6 J. Henderson M
8 K. Taylor M
23 S. Berghuis M
10 C. Akpom F
11 Carlos Forbs F
Bench (12)
3 A. Gaaei
39 M. Godts
20 B. Traoré
21 B. van den Boomen
9 B. Brobbey
19 J. Rijkhoff
12 J. Gorter
38 K. Hlynsson
16 S. Mannsverk
40 D. Ramaj
18 J. Medić
13 A. Kaplan

Coach: F. Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Glova · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.