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Conference League
Referee: J Sundberg
Ballkani
T S T U S
0–1
Full-time
Larne
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ballkani Larne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Aug -23 Larne – Ballkani 1–4 25. Jul -23 Ballkani – Larne 3–0

Match report

Ballkani Larne
21′
🟨 Mark Randall
G. Smajli 🔁
↦ G. Halili
22′
Lindon Emërllahu 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Thomson
↦ M. Randall
Arber Potoku 🟨
57′
B. Tolaj 🔁
↦ M. Ismajlgeci
64′
Giovanni 🔁
↦ B. Karrica
74′
81′
🔁 S. Want
↦ S. Graham
81′
🔁 M. Lusty
↦ A. Ryan
Queven Inácio 🟨
82′
84′
🟨 Joe Thomson
89′
⚽ M. Lusty 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ballkani

3-5-2
1 E. Koliçi G
4 G. Halili D
32 B. Jashanica D
20 A. Thaqi D
88 Queven M
11 W. Hamidi F
6 L. Emërllahu M
14 M. Ismajlgeci M
3 A. Potoku D
25 B. Karrica F
10 A. Kryeziu F
Bench (11)
2 G. Smajli
99 B. Tolaj
37 Giovanni
77 E. Abedini
15 A. Halitjaha
5 E. Sinani
22 K. Dulaj
19 E. Ajazaj
13 A. Miftari
92 D. Ljuljanović
34 M. Kodra

Coach: I. Daja

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
18 C. Bolger D
4 A. Donnelly D
3 L. Ives M
11 S. Graham M
27 C. Gallagher M
25 D. Sloan M
29 A. Ryan F
8 M. Randall M
10 L. Bonis F
Bench (10)
6 J. Thomson
2 S. Want
30 M. Lusty
9 P. O'Neill
34 O. Devlin
5 B. Altintop
7 C. McKendry
24 S. Brown
26 C. Smith
36 D. Graham

Coach: T. Lynch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.