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Conference League
Referee: J Vergoote
Djurgarden
T U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Maribor
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Maribor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Djurgarden Maribor
21′
🟨 Gregor Sikošek
38′
🟨 Josip Iličić
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Jan Repas
G. Wikheim 🔁
↦ O. Fallenius
56′
1–0 T. Nguen ⚽
69′
D. Stensson 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
73′
73′
🔁 A. Jakupovic
↦ M. Barišič
81′
🔁 R. Bourlès
↦ M. Božić
81′
🔁 O. Mbina
↦ E. Beugré
90′
🟥 Sven Karič
H. Radetinac 🔁
↦ T. Gulliksen
91′
92′
🔁 B. M'bondo
↦ J. Iličić
92′
🔁 B. Vrhovec
↦ Z. Repas
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
35 J. Rinne G
17 P. Therkildsen D
4 J. Une Larsson D
3 M. Danielson D
27 K. Kosugi D
14 B. Šabović M
6 R. Schüller M
15 O. Fallenius M
20 T. Nguen F
16 T. Gulliksen M
11 D. Hümmet F
Bench (11)
23 G. Wikheim
13 D. Stensson
9 H. Radetinac
19 V. Bergh
22 P. Åslund
12 T. Bergvall
18 A. Ståhl
7 M. Eriksson
40 M. Croon
26 A. Priske
45 O. Jansson

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Maribor

4-2-3-1
1 A. Jug G
5 P. Širvys D
50 L. Vidmar D
25 S. Karič D
12 G. Sikošek D
20 Z. Repas M
15 J. Repas M
10 M. Barišič M
72 J. Iličić M
8 M. Božić M
13 E. Beugré F
Bench (12)
17 A. Jakupovic
11 R. Bourlès
99 O. Mbina
6 B. M'bondo
4 B. Vrhovec
22 M. Milec
16 N. Grlić
59 S. Pridgar
7 B. Feta
55 M. Lorber
21 K. Borys
81 M. Bergsen

Coach: A. Šimundža

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.