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Europa League
Referee: M Krogh
Lugano
T S S T U
3–3
Full-time
Besiktas
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Dec -23 Lugano – Besiktas 0–2 5. Oct -23 Besiktas – Lugano 2–3

Match report

Lugano Besiktas
21′
⚽ Gedson Fernandes 0–1
Gabriel Paulista
1–1 U. Bislimi ⚽
M. Zanotti
34′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Cher Ndour
Ousmane Doumbia 🟨
47′
51′
⚽ Gedson Fernandes 1–2
Rafa
55′
⚽ Al Musrati 1–3
A. Masuaku
2–3 R. Steffen ⚽
I. Aliseda
56′
58′
🔁 J. Onana
↦ C. Ndour
A. Grgic 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
62′
K. Przybyłko 🔁
↦ S. Vladi
62′
2–4 Gabriel Paulista ⚽
own goal
63′
H. Mahou 🔁
↦ I. Aliseda
71′
71′
🔁 M. Hekimoğlu
↦ C. Immobile
71′
🔁 E. Muçi
↦ M. Rashica
Milton Valenzuela 🟨
76′
84′
🟨 Mutassim Al Musrati
Daniel Dos Santos 🔁
↦ H. Mahmoud
85′
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ U. Bislimi
85′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Lugano

4-3-3
1 A. Saipi G
46 M. Zanotti D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
22 A. El Wafi D
23 M. Valenzuela D
25 U. Bislimi M
20 O. Doumbia M
29 H. Mahmoud M
11 R. Steffen F
9 S. Vladi F
31 I. Aliseda F
Bench (12)
8 A. Grgic
93 K. Przybyłko
18 H. Mahou
27 Daniel Dos Santos
10 M. Bottani
21 Y. Cimignani
2 Z. Brault-Guillard
58 S. Osigwe
7 R. Macek
17 L. Mai
99 D. Mina
26 Martim Marques

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
53 E. Topçu D
26 A. Masuaku D
28 Al Musrati M
73 C. Ndour M
7 M. Rashica M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
27 Rafa M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (12)
71 J. Onana
91 M. Hekimoğlu
23 E. Muçi
30 E. Destanoğlu
20 N. Uysal
79 E. Terzi
5 T. Sanuç
9 S. Kılıçsoy
4 O. Bulut
21 E. Tıknaz
77 C. Keleş
8 S. Uçan

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.