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Conference League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Chelsea
T S U S U
1–2
Full-time
Legia
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/15 matches
Win Ø 79%
91%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
73%
67%
Both score Ø 44%
55%
33%
Average goals
3,9
3,3
Scored
3,2
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,09 xG 2,22
70% Possession 30%
16 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -25 Legia – Chelsea 0–3

Match report

Chelsea Legia
Filip Jørgensen 🟨
9′
10′
⚽ T. Pekhart 0–1
1–1 Marc Cucurella ⚽
J. Sancho
33′
Marc Cucurella ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
43′
Half-time 1–1
T. George 🔁
↦ N. Jackson
46′
Benoît Badiashile 🟨
48′
53′
⚽ S. Kapuadi 1–2
Claude Gonçalves
M. Gusto 🔁
↦ Marc Cucurella
58′
N. Madueke 🔁
↦ C. Palmer
58′
67′
🔁 K. Chodyna
↦ T. Pekhart
77′
🔁 M. Szczepaniak
↦ Luquinhas
78′
🔁 R. Augustyniak
↦ J. Elitim
Pedro Neto 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
83′
86′
🔁 A. Jędrzejczyk
↦ J. Ziółkowski
86′
🔁 V. Bichakhchyan
↦ Claude Gonçalves
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
12 F. Jørgensen G
34 J. Acheampong D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
5 B. Badiashile D
3 Marc Cucurella D
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
24 R. James M
19 J. Sancho M
20 C. Palmer M
18 C. Nkunku M
15 N. Jackson F
Bench (12)
32 T. George
27 M. Gusto
11 N. Madueke
7 Pedro Neto
47 L. Bergström
39 M. Amougou
1 Robert Sánchez
72 L. Emenalo
81 R. Walsh
64 G. Antwi
76 S. Mheuka
51 S. Rak-Sakyi

Coach: E. Maresca

Legia

4-1-4-1
77 V. Kovačević G
12 R. Pankov D
24 J. Ziółkowski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 Rúben Vinagre D
6 M. Oyedele M
25 R. Morishita M
22 J. Elitim M
5 Claude Gonçalves M
82 Luquinhas M
7 T. Pekhart F
Bench (10)
11 K. Chodyna
71 M. Szczepaniak
8 R. Augustyniak
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
21 V. Bichakhchyan
23 P. Kun
51 P. Mozie
52 O. Olewinski
1 K. Tobiasz
31 M. Mendes-Dudziński

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.