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Conference League
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
FC Differdange 03
S T T T S
1–0
Full-time
The New Saints
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Differdange 03 The New Saints
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -25 The New Saints – FC Differdange 03 0–1

Match report

FC Differdange 03 The New Saints
Arthur Abreu 🟨
14′
Rafa Pinto 🟨
20′
30′
🟨 Jordan Williams
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Jordan Marshall
64′
🟨 Daniel Redmond
66′
🟨 Ben Clark
Théo Brusco 🟨
67′
1–0 S. Hadji ⚽
68′
A. Oteh 🔁
↦ R. Brobbel
72′
R. Holden 🔁
↦ J. Williams
72′
B. Wilson 🔁
↦ D. Corness
72′
75′
🔁 L. Jakobi
↦ B. Mfoumou
J. Daniels 🔁
↦ J. Marshall
77′
J. Owen 🔁
↦ B. Clark
81′
83′
🔁 A. Buch
↦ S. Hadji
83′
🔁 A. El Idrissi
↦ R. Pinto
93′
🔁 A. Haboubi
↦ A. Abreu
93′
🔁 J. P. Gomes Ricciulli
↦ G. Franzoni
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Differdange 03

3-5-2
1 N. Shepperd
3 J. Marshall
16 H. McGahey
6 J. Bodenham
10 D. Redmond
14 D. Williams
4 D. Corness
19 B. Clark
17 J. Williams
9 K. Charles
8 R. Brobbel
Bench (12)
30 J. Edwards
2 J. Owen
5 R. Astles
7 J. Daniels
11 A. Cieslewicz
15 A. Oteh
18 R. Holden
24 J. Nadin
26 L. Phillips
27 J. Canavan
28 B. Wilson
64 K. Craig

Coach: Maurice Spitoni

The New Saints

4-3-3
84 Felipe
4 K. D'Anzico
5 T. Brusco
14 J. Bedouret
25 G. Franzoni
20 R. Pinto
55 Leandro Borges
7 B. Mfoumou
32 D. Lempereur
23 S. Hadji
10 A. Abreu
Bench (9)
1 E. Da Costa
22 A. Van Buggenhout
9 A. Buch
11 A. Haboubi
26 F. Mendes
34 A. El Idrissi
39 L. Jakobi
66 J. P. Gomes Ricciulli
88 P. Mendes Alves

Coach: Craig Harrison

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.