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League Cup
Referee: Darren Drysdale
Barnet
S U T S T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnet Newport County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,7
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,38 xG 1,16
77% Possession 23%
22 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barnet Newport County
31′
C. Antwi 0–1
L. Jenkins
41′
🟨 Cameron Antwi
42′
M. Reindorf 0–2
T. Davies
Half-time 0–2
D. Adeniran 🔁
↦ E. Osadebe
46′
46′
🔁 C. Evans
↦ M. Smith
49′
🔁 G. Garner
↦ C. Baker-Richardson
63′
🔁 B. Kamwa
↦ M. Reindorf
S. High 🔁
↦ R. Glover
67′
R. Browne 🔁
↦ M. Shelton
67′
K. Smith 🔁
↦ Z. Brunt
67′
72′
🔁 A. Driscoll-Glennon
↦ T. Davies
75′
🟨 Lee Jenkins
R. Galvin 🔁
↦ D. Collinge
81′
Idris Kanu 🟨
85′
1–2 R. Galvin
K. Smith
90′
2–2 R. Browne
I. Kanu
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Barnet

3-4-3
1 J. Wright G
4 D. Collinge D
22 O. Kensdale D
5 A. Senior D
11 I. Kanu M
18 A. Hartigan M
19 M. Shelton M
15 R. Glover M
17 Z. Brunt F
20 J. Hugill F
6 E. Osadebe F
Bench (9)
13 O. Evans
3 R. Galvin
7 S. High
8 R. Browne
28 N. Ofoborh
23 K. Smith
24 R. Crichlow-Noble
35 D. Adeniran
36 R. Matyar

Coach: Dean Brennan

Newport County

5-3-2
13 N. Tzanev G
12 J. Thomas D
15 L. Jenkins D
5 J. Clarke D
4 M. Baker D
17 T. Davies D
11 C. Antwi M
8 M. Smith M
20 B. Lloyd M
9 C. Baker-Richardson F
23 M. Reindorf F
Bench (9)
28 J. Wright
2 C. Evans
3 A. Driscoll-Glennon
31 N. Sanca
30 C. Evans
22 H. Ogunneye
27 M. Alexander-Walker
7 B. Kamwa
19 G. Garner

Coach: David Robert Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Darren Drysdale · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
1,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.