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Champions League
Referee: A Nobre
5–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Lincoln Red Imps FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Lincoln Red Imps FC
1–0 A. Katai
T. Elsnik
8′
2–0 M. Ivanic
A. Katai
16′
3–0 Bruno Duarte
A. Katai
37′
4–0 Milson
44′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 N. Pozo
↦ Juanje
46′
🔁 Mandi
↦ G. Torrilla
53′
T. De Barr 4–1
Nano
Miloš Veljković 🟨
63′
C. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ A. Katai
64′
64′
🔁 I. Ayew
↦ R. Munoz
69′
🟨 Mandi
N. Radonjic 🔁
↦ Milson
73′
M. Arnautovic 🔁
↦ Bruno Duarte
73′
5–1 C. Ndiaye
M. Ivanic
75′
81′
🔁 J. Toscano
↦ E. Britto
81′
🔁 L. Chipolina
↦ T. De Barr
V. Kostov 🔁
↦ M. Ivanic
82′
V. Lucic 🔁
↦ T. Elsnik
82′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
44 V. Milosavljevic D
5 Rodrigo D
13 M. Veljkovic D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
33 R. Krunic M
21 T. Elsnik M
7 Milson M
10 A. Katai M
4 M. Ivanic M
17 Bruno Duarte F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
77 I. Gutesa
8 J. Sljivic
9 C. Ndiaye
22 V. Kostov
25 S. Lekovic
37 V. Lucic
47 S. Stojkovic
49 N. Radonjic
73 E. Prutsev
88 E. Annan
89 M. Arnautovic

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-3-3
1 Nauzet Santana G
15 R. Munoz D
6 B. Lopes M
3 C. Rutjens D
21 Nano M
18 T. Garcia M
22 G. Torrilla M
11 Juanje F
70 V. Villacanas F
20 E. Britto D
10 T. De Barr F
Bench (12)
13 J. Hankins
27 F. Acal
2 J. Toscano
4 N. Pozo
5 I. Ayew
8 Mandi
16 T. Carrington
17 S. Benitez
19 K. Clinton
23 Joe
29 L. Chipolina
71 J. Peacock

Coach: Juan Bezares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Nobre · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.