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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Tromso
S U T T S
3–1
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 12. · Stromsgodset 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 4 3 0 1 +3 9
2 Sarpsborg 08 4 2 2 0 +4 8
3 Haugesund 4 2 1 1 +3 7
4 Brann 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Valerenga 4 2 0 2 -4 6
6 Rosenborg 4 1 2 1 +3 5
7 Stromsgodset 3 1 2 0 +3 5
8 Kristiansund 4 1 1 2 -1 4
9 Odd 4 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Sandefjord 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Lillestrom 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Tromso 3 1 0 2 +0 3
13 Start 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Ranheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
15 Bodo/Glimt 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Stabaek 3 0 2 1 -3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Stromsgodset
1–0 R. Espejord
G. Åsen
7′
33′
🟨 Bassel Jradi
2–0 K. Antonsen
G. Åsen
35′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Francisco Júnior
↦ Bassel Jradi
3–0 D. Berntsen
G. Åsen
69′
72′
🟨 Herman Stengel
S. Vuk 🔁
↦ D. Berntsen
73′
73′
🔁 M. Abdellaoue
↦ H. Stengel
74′
🔁 A. Pellegrino
↦ E. Andersen
M. Bakenga 🔁
↦ R. Espejord
78′
79′
A. Pellegrino 3–1
Francisco Júnior
C. Landu Landu 🔁
↦ S. Wangberg
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kongshavn G
2 T. Høgli D
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
7 Morten Pedersen M
11 R. Taylor M
17 D. Berntsen F
25 L. Nilsen M
23 G. Åsen F
30 R. Espejord F
Bench (7)
9 S. Vuk
42 M. Bakenga
6 C. Landu Landu
15 M. Andersen
8 O. Kjærgaard
18 E. Samb
28 J. Karlstrom

Coach: S. Valakari

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 E. Pettersen G
25 S. Ringstad D
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
7 H. Stengel M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
19 Francisco Júnior
30 M. Abdellaoue
90 A. Pellegrino
39 L. Sætra
17 C. Lindquist
20 P. Heigre
2 M. Hamoud

Coach: T. Skullerud

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.