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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Stromsgodset
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Brann
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 4. · Brann 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 28 17 7 4 +36 58
2 Molde 28 15 5 8 +14 50
3 Sarpsborg 08 28 12 11 5 +13 47
4 Stromsgodset 28 13 8 7 +8 47
5 Brann 28 13 7 8 +16 46
6 Haugesund 28 11 6 11 -1 39
7 Odd 28 11 6 11 -11 39
8 Stabaek 28 10 8 10 -2 38
9 Valerenga 28 10 6 12 +3 36
10 Sandefjord 28 11 3 14 -10 36
11 Kristiansund 28 8 10 10 -4 34
12 Lillestrom 28 9 7 12 -4 34
13 Tromso 28 9 7 12 -9 34
14 Aalesund 28 7 8 13 -12 29
15 Sogndal 28 7 7 14 -13 28
16 Viking 28 5 6 17 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Brann
1–0 Marcus Pedersen
J. Parr
4′
41′
🟨 Vito Wormgoor
45′
🟨 Deyver Vega
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 L. Marengo
↦ G. Sørensen
60′
🔁 T. Børven
↦ J. Orlov
K. Tokstad 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
76′
78′
🔁 A. Karadas
↦ P. Larsen
2–0 E. Andersen
H. Hauger
78′
81′
D. Vega 2–1
F. Haugen
Marcus Pedersen 🟨
84′
S. Ringstad 🔁
↦ E. Andersen
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-4-1-1
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
2 M. Hamoud M
26 L. Vilsvik D
28 M. Høibråten D
6 H. Hauger M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
11 K. Tokstad
25 S. Ringstad
9 P. Engblom
13 C. Sivodedov
20 P. Heigre
21 M. Gjerstrøm
66 A. Hoven

Coach: T. Skullerud

Brann

4-3-3
24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
21 R. Kristiansen D
17 G. Sørensen F
7 P. Larsen M
8 F. Haugen M
9 K. Skaanes M
10 J. Orlov F
19 D. Vega F
Bench (7)
14 L. Marengo
22 T. Børven
18 A. Karadas
34 M. Bildöy
5 J. Grønner
6 V. Jonsson
12 M. Pettersen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.