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Eliteserien
Referee: Martin Lundby
Tromso
S S U U U
2–0
Full-time
Stromsgodset
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Stromsgodset
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
0,7
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 11. · Stromsgodset 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 4 2 2 0 +2 8
2 Molde 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Bodo/Glimt 4 2 1 1 +3 7
4 Viking 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Sogndal 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Rosenborg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Haugesund 4 2 0 2 +1 6
8 Lillestrom 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Odd 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Stromsgodset 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Tromso 3 0 3 0 +0 3
12 Stabaek 4 1 0 3 -3 3
13 Aalesund 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Start 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Sarpsborg 08 4 0 2 2 -5 2
16 Valerenga 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Stromsgodset
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Espejord
H. Norbye
46′
Magnar Odegaard 🟨
47′
62′
🔁 P. Moen
↦ T. Høiland
Morten Pedersen 🔁
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
66′
T. Olsen 🔁
↦ R. Espejord
69′
74′
🟨 Bismark Adjei-Boateng
Hans Norbye 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 K. Hoven
↦ T. Nguen
Gjermund Aasen 🟨
80′
S. Moussa 🔁
↦ G. Åsen
82′
2–0 S. Moussa
T. Olsen
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Tromso

1 G. Kongshavn G
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
11 J. Johansen D
15 M. Andersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
23 G. Åsen F
30 R. Espejord F
Bench (7)
7 Morten Pedersen
10 T. Olsen
9 S. Moussa
25 L. Nilsen
8 J. Jacobsson
26 J. Gundersen
12 F. Lončarić

Stromsgodset

1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
9 Ø. Storflor F
20 M. Abu M
11 M. Rønning M
93 T. Nguen M
22 B. Adjei-Boateng M
7 T. Høiland F
Bench (7)
8 P. Moen
69 K. Hoven
30 Ł. Jarosiński
28 M. Høibråten
2 M. Hamoud
19 Francisco Junior
18 H. Bredeli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Martin Lundby · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.