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Conference League
Referee: M Mariani
1–0
Full-time
Vallecano
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 64%
56%
71%
Points per game
1,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
64%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,57 xG 0,52
42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Crystal Palace Vallecano
20′
🟨 Pathé Ismaël Ciss
23′
🟨 Isi Palazón
Adam Wharton 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Unai López
1–0 J. Mateta
51′
62′
🟨 Álvaro García
62′
🔁 P. Diaz
↦ U. Lopez
63′
🔁 N. Mendy
↦ O. Valentin
70′
🔁 Pacha
↦ A. Garcia
70′
🔁 S. Camello
↦ J. de Frutos
Yéremy Pino 🟨
74′
J. S. Larsen 🔁
↦ J. Mateta
76′
77′
🔁 I. Akhomach
↦ I. Palazon
E. Guessand 🔁
↦ Y. Pino
80′
Chadi Riad 🟨
82′
85′
🟨 Nobel Mendy
92′
🟨 Pacha
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
1 D. Henderson G
23 J. Canvot D
5 M. Lacroix D
34 C. Riad D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
14 J. Mateta F
10 Y. Pino F
Bench (12)
44 W. Benitez
31 R. Matthews
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
24 B. Sosa
22 J. S. Larsen
11 B. Johnson
8 J. Lerma
29 E. Guessand
26 C. Richards
55 J. Devenny
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
6 P. Ciss D
3 P. Chavarria D
23 O. Valentin M
17 U. Lopez M
19 J. de Frutos M
7 I. Palazon M
18 A. Garcia M
9 Alemao F
Bench (10)
1 D. Cardenas
30 A. Molina
8 O. Trejo
15 G. Gumbau
22 Pacha
4 P. Diaz
12 I. Akhomach
32 N. Mendy
20 I. Balliu
10 S. Camello

Coach: Inigo Perez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.