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Conference League
Referee: A Hernandez
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 15/13 matches
Win Ø 54%
53%
54%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
53%
69%
Both score Ø 58%
47%
69%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,37 xG 1,04
34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Crystal Palace Shakhtar Donetsk
Yéremy Pino ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
12′
15′
🟨 Valerii Bondar
0–1 P. Henrique
own goal
25′
27′
🔁 A. Ghram
↦ V. Tobias
34′
Eguinaldo 0–2
P. Henrique
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 Isaque Silva
↦ Alisson
1–2 I. Sarr
T. Mitchell
52′
56′
🔁 L. Traore
↦ Kaua Elias
56′
🔁 Newerton
↦ O. Ocheretko
J. S. Larsen 🔁
↦ J. Mateta
66′
75′
🔁 Lucas Ferreira
↦ Pedrinho
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ Y. Pino
78′
J. Lerma 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
88′
N. Clyne 🔁
↦ D. Munoz
89′
W. Hughes 🔁
↦ A. Wharton
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Canvot D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
14 J. Mateta F
10 Y. Pino F
Bench (11)
44 W. Benitez
31 R. Matthews
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
22 J. S. Larsen
11 B. Johnson
42 K. Rodney
8 J. Lerma
55 J. Devenny
34 C. Riad
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
17 V. Tobias D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 P. Henrique D
27 O. Ocheretko M
30 Alisson M
10 Pedrinho M
6 Marlon Gomes M
7 Eguinaldo M
19 Kaua Elias F
Bench (12)
48 D. Tvardovskyi
8 D. Kryskiv
2 L. Traore
68 P. Obah
11 Newerton
49 Luca Meirelles
14 Isaque Silva
29 Y. Nazaryna
21 A. Bondarenko
16 I. Azarovi
18 A. Ghram
37 Lucas Ferreira

Coach: Arda Turan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Hernandez · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.