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Premier League
Referee: T Bramall
2–2
Full-time
Everton
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 34/35 matches
Win Ø 35%
32%
37%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
49%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,56 xG 1,59
59% Possession 41%
21 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 15. · Everton 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 35 23 7 5 +41 +34.2 76
2 Man City 35 22 8 5 +40 +27.3 74
3 Man United 36 18 11 7 +15 +13.2 65
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 +12 +12.2 59
5 Aston Villa 35 17 7 11 +4 -6.1 58
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 +5.3 55
7 Brighton 36 14 11 11 +10 +6.8 53
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 +3 +7.3 51
9 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 +15.8 49
10 Everton 35 13 9 13 +0 -8.4 48
11 Fulham 36 14 6 16 -6 -6.7 48
12 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 -9 -16.4 48
13 Newcastle 35 13 6 16 -2 +6.1 45
14 Leeds 35 10 13 12 -5 +2.2 43
15 Crystal Palace 34 11 10 13 -6 +7.8 43
16 Nott'm Forest 35 11 9 15 -2 -8.7 42
17 Tottenham 35 9 10 16 -9 -13.0 37
18 West Ham 35 9 9 17 -19 -13.9 36
19 Burnley 35 4 8 23 -36 -41.0 20
20 Wolves 36 3 9 24 -41 -24.1 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Everton
6′
J. Tarkowski 0–1
30′
🟨 James Garner
1–1 I. Sarr
34′
45′
🟨 Vitaliy Mykolenko
Half-time 1–2
47′
Beto 1–2
J. Tarkowski
J. Mateta 🔁
↦ J. S. Larsen
65′
70′
🔁 T. Barry
↦ Beto
2–2 J. Mateta
77′
J. Lerma 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
80′
80′
🔁 T. George
↦ M. Rohl
94′
🔁 C. Alcaraz
↦ K. Dewsbury-Hall
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Canvot D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
11 B. Johnson F
22 J. S. Larsen F
Bench (9)
44 W. Benitez
17 N. Clyne
19 W. Hughes
8 J. Lerma
14 J. Mateta
10 Y. Pino
55 J. Devenny
34 C. Riad
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
15 J. O'Brien D
6 J. Tarkowski D
5 M. Keane D
16 V. Mykolenko D
42 T. Iroegbunam M
37 J. Garner M
34 M. Rohl M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
10 I. Ndiaye M
9 Beto F
Bench (9)
12 M. Travers
2 N. Patterson
24 C. Alcaraz
20 T. Dibling
19 T. George
11 T. Barry
45 H. Armstrong
23 S. Coleman
7 D. McNeil

Coach: Leighton Baines

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U ✓
3,26
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bramall · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.