Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Crystal Palace
Everton
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | +41 | +34.2 | 76 |
| 2 |
Man City
|
35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | +40 | +27.3 | 74 |
| 3 |
Man United
|
36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | +15 | +13.2 | 65 |
| 4 |
Liverpool
|
36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | +12 | +12.2 | 59 |
| 5 |
Aston Villa
|
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | +4 | -6.1 | 58 |
| 6 |
Bournemouth
|
36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | +4 | +5.3 | 55 |
| 7 |
Brighton
|
36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | +10 | +6.8 | 53 |
| 8 |
Brentford
|
36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | +3 | +7.3 | 51 |
| 9 |
Chelsea
|
36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | +6 | +15.8 | 49 |
| 10 |
Everton
|
35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | +0 | -8.4 | 48 |
| 11 |
Fulham
|
36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | -6 | -6.7 | 48 |
| 12 |
Sunderland
|
36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | -9 | -16.4 | 48 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | -2 | +6.1 | 45 |
| 14 |
Leeds
|
35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | -5 | +2.2 | 43 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -6 | +7.8 | 43 |
| 16 |
Nott'm Forest
|
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -2 | -8.7 | 42 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -9 | -13.0 | 37 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | -19 | -13.9 | 36 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | -36 | -41.0 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | -41 | -24.1 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Henderson
G
C. Richards
D
M. Lacroix
D
J. Canvot
D
D. Munoz
M
A. Wharton
M
D. Kamada
M
T. Mitchell
M
I. Sarr
F
B. Johnson
F
J. S. Larsen
F
Coach: Oliver Glasner
J. Pickford
G
J. O'Brien
D
J. Tarkowski
D
M. Keane
D
V. Mykolenko
D
T. Iroegbunam
M
J. Garner
M
M. Rohl
M
K. Dewsbury-Hall
M
I. Ndiaye
M
Beto
F
Coach: Leighton Baines
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
West Ham
T Bramall · 131 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.