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Conference League
Referee: K Fellas
Neftchi Baku
T U S T T
2–4
Full-time
Dinamo Minsk
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Neftchi Baku Dinamo Minsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Neftchi Baku Dinamo Minsk
1–0 E. Mahmudov ⚽
Gustavo Klismahn
2′
1–1 A. Selyava ⚽
own goal
8′
36′
⚽ K. Vardanyan 1–2
E. Malashevich
Half-time 1–2
R. Cafarov 🔁
↦ E. Balayev
46′
47′
🟨 Fawaz Abdullahi
47′
⚽ E. Malashevich 1–3
K. Vardanyan
Falaye Sacko 🟨
54′
57′
⚽ K. Vardanyan 1–4
M. Djimet
59′
🔁 A. Sokolovskiy
↦ A. Zhechko
R. Abbasov 🔁
↦ M. Seck
60′
I. Mathew 🔁
↦ E. Mahmudov
60′
E. Safarov 🔁
↦ S. D'Almeida
60′
B. Sambou 🔁
↦ Breno Almeida
66′
73′
🔁 G. Alykulov
↦ M. Djimet
73′
🔁 L. Gweth
↦ K. Vardanyan
77′
❌ Gulzhigit Alykulov
penalty missed
77′
⚽ G. Alykulov 1–5
92′
🔁 A. Vakulich
↦ A. Toure
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Neftchi Baku

4-3-3
1 E. Balayev G
77 F. Sacko D
55 A. Gravillon D
5 Igor Ribeiro D
24 M. Seck D
20 Gustavo Klismahn M
6 S. D'Almeida M
8 E. Mahmudov M
33 Breno Almeida M
29 L. Tupta F
11 I. Faraj M
Bench (12)
13 K. Piric
93 R. Cafarov
3 R. Abbasov
4 E. Camalov
14 E. Badalov
17 M. Khachayev
18 I. Mathew
80 A. Shirinov
82 M. Mammadli
91 A. Salyanskiy
97 B. Sambou
7 E. Safarov

Coach: Yuri Vernidub

Dinamo Minsk

4-3-3
1 I. Shimakovich G
44 G. Gurban D
12 A. Ivanov D
26 V. Kalinin D
25 A. Toure D
23 A. Zhechko M
8 A. Selyava M
42 F. Abdullahi M
30 M. Djimet F
10 K. Vardanyan F
7 E. Malashevich M
Bench (12)
21 D. Radkevich
2 M. Dubatovka
3 M. Shvetsov
5 D. Dushevskiy
9 A. Lutskovich
11 G. Alykulov
13 V. Poloz
19 R. Guibero
24 A. Vakulich
27 M. Aleksandrov
78 A. Sokolovskiy
80 L. Gweth

Coach: Aleksandr Shagoyko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.