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Referee: P Farrugia
Vardar Skopje
U S T T S
2–3
Full-time
Riga
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vardar Skopje Riga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Vardar Skopje Riga
Mislav Matić 🟨
15′
20′
🟨 Baba Musah
21′
🟨 Orlando Galo
1–0 D. Castaneda
28′
35′
O. Galo 1–1
R. Jurkovskis
39′
Iago Siqueira 1–2
O. Galo
43′
🟨 Raivis Jurkovskis
Half-time 1–2
52′
🟨 Salah Oulad M'Hand
57′
🔁 Caio Ferreira
↦ S. Oulad M'Hand
G. Zakaric 🔁
↦ Miguel Pires
59′
N. Bosancic 🔁
↦ B. Nikolov
59′
2–2 G. Rodrigues
G. Zakaric
66′
67′
🔁 Reginaldo Ramires
↦ M. Badamosi
67′
🔁 Paulo Eduardo
↦ R. Aouani
81′
Iago Siqueira 2–3
A. Salazar
87′
🔁 K. Wassom
↦ O. Galo
Filip Najdovski 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Vardar Skopje

4-3-3
95 D. Taleski G
21 G. Jankulov D
5 F. Najdovski D
4 M. Matic D
3 M. Manevski D
8 B. Nikolov M
6 D. Babunski M
32 D. Castaneda M
71 Miguel Pires M
9 A. Omeragic F
7 G. Rodrigues F
Bench (11)
1 D. Dikovski
10 G. Zakaric
17 E. Spahiu
18 N. Mishkovski
22 D. Todorovski
23 F. Duranski
27 F. Cvetkovski
31 I. Markovski
34 I. Puleio
49 D. Danev
88 N. Bosancic

Coach: Cristian Fabbiani

Riga

3-5-2
91 F. Orols G
13 R. Jurkovskis D
21 B. Musah D
34 A. Cernomordijs D
4 O. Galo M
18 S. Oulad M'Hand M
40 A. Ankrah M
8 Iago Siqueira M
17 A. Salazar D
19 M. Badamosi F
7 R. Aouani M
Bench (11)
31 A. Papadoudis
44 M. Kazainis
3 Abner
5 K. Wassom
10 Reginaldo Ramires
11 B. Pena
22 M. Diop
23 M. Tonisevs
25 A. Taiwo
33 Paulo Eduardo
99 Caio Ferreira

Coach: Adrian Gula

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Farrugia · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
12,1 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.