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Champions League
Referee: G Kikacheishvili
Dinamo Minsk
T T S T T
2–2
Full-time
Ludogorets
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Minsk Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Jul -25 Ludogorets – Dinamo Minsk 1–0 31. Jul -24 Dinamo Minsk – Ludogorets 1–0 24. Jul -24 Ludogorets – Dinamo Minsk 2–0

Match report

Dinamo Minsk Ludogorets
-5′
🟨 Erick Marcus
41′
⚽ Erick Marcus 0–1
E. Kurtulus
Half-time 0–1
Pedro Igor 🔁
↦ I. Bakhar
46′
1–1 M. Djimet ⚽
D. Podstrelov
54′
2–1 Pedro Igor ⚽
M. Djimet
62′
Dmitri Podstrelov 🟨
65′
E. Malashevich 🔁
↦ D. Podstrelov
68′
K. Vardanyan 🔁
↦ M. Djimet
68′
76′
🔁 I. Chochev
↦ Pedro Naressi
76′
🔁 E. Bile
↦ Erick Marcus
83′
🔁 S. Ivanov
↦ B. Tekpetey
86′
🟨 Jakub Piotrowski
90′
🔁 J. Andersson
↦ A. Nedyalkov
F. Abdullahi 🔁
↦ M. Myakish
91′
100′
⚽ E. Bile 2–2
E. Shevchenko 🔁
↦
102′
106′
🟨 Olivier Verdon
106′
🔁 H. Bonmann
↦ S. Padt
106′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ Caio Vidal
Roman Begunov 🟨
112′
N. Demchenko 🔁
↦ V. Kalinin
112′
Nikita Demchenko 🟨
118′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Dinamo Minsk

4-4-2
31 D. Shpakovskiy G
2 V. Pigas D
67 R. Begunov D
4 A. Gavrilovich D
33 F. Ibrahim D
19 D. Podstrelov M
6 M. Myakish M
26 V. Kalinin D
17 I. Bakhar F
11 M. Djimet F
9 D. Bakic F
Bench (12)
13 I. Shimakovich
3 I. Kalachev
5 P. Apetenok
7 E. Malashevich
10 K. Vardanyan
21 E. Shevchenko
24 A. Vakulich
25 Pedro Igor
42 F. Abdullahi
88 N. Demchenko
99 K. Tsepenkov
16 D. Silinsky

Coach: Aleksandr Pavlov

Ludogorets

4-3-1-2
1 S. Padt G
17 Son D
15 E. Kurtulus D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
26 F. Kaloc M
30 Pedro Naressi M
6 J. Piotrowski M
77 Erick Marcus M
37 B. Tekpetey M
11 Caio Vidal M
Bench (11)
39 H. Bonmann
67 D. Hristov
2 J. Andersson
18 I. Chochev
23 D. Duarte
25 E. Rodriguez
29 E. Bile
42 S. Shishkov
73 F. Gigov
80 M. Stefanov
99 S. Ivanov

Coach: Per-Mathias Hogmo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kikacheishvili · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.