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OBOS-ligaen

Jerv

U S T S U

1–0

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 27%

33%

20%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

33%

60%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jerv 10. · Fredrikstad 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kristiansund	11	8	2	1	+11	26
2	Sandefjord	11	8	1	2	+13	25
3	Levanger	11	6	3	2	+4	21
4	Asane	11	5	3	3	+8	18
5	Sandnes ULF	11	5	2	4	+7	17
6	Kongsvinger	11	5	2	4	+5	17
7	Ranheim	11	5	1	5	-2	16
8	Strommen	11	3	5	3	-4	14
9	KFUM Oslo	11	3	4	4	-3	13
10	Jerv	9	3	3	3	-5	12
11	Bryne	11	2	5	4	-3	11
12	hodd	11	3	2	6	-5	11
13	Mjondalen	10	2	4	4	-8	10
14	Raufoss	11	2	3	6	-4	9
15	Fredrikstad	10	2	2	6	-10	8
16	Ull/Kisa	11	1	4	6	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kristiansund	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Sandefjord	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Kongsvinger	6	4	0	2	+6	12
4	Asane	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	hodd	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Levanger	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Ranheim	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Sandnes ULF	5	3	0	2	+8	9
9	Mjondalen	5	2	3	0	+6	9
10	Strommen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
11	KFUM Oslo	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Bryne	6	2	2	2	+2	8
13	Raufoss	5	2	1	2	+2	7
14	Ull/Kisa	6	1	2	3	+0	5
15	Jerv	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Fredrikstad	5	1	1	3	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sandefjord	6	4	0	2	+4	12
2	Kristiansund	6	3	2	1	+3	11
3	Levanger	6	3	2	1	-1	11
4	Sandnes ULF	6	2	2	2	-1	8
5	Asane	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Jerv	5	2	1	2	-5	7
7	Ranheim	6	2	0	4	-4	6
8	Kongsvinger	5	1	2	2	-1	5
9	Strommen	5	1	2	2	-4	5
10	KFUM Oslo	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Fredrikstad	5	1	1	3	-8	4
12	Bryne	5	0	3	2	-5	3
13	Ull/Kisa	5	0	2	3	-4	2
14	Raufoss	6	0	2	4	-6	2
15	Mjondalen	5	0	1	4	-14	1
16	hodd	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.