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OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad
T S T U T
1–0
Full-time
hodd
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad hodd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
11%
22%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 16. · hodd 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sandefjord 9 7 1 1 +12 22
2 Kristiansund 9 6 2 1 +8 20
3 Levanger 9 6 1 2 +4 19
4 Asane 9 5 2 2 +9 17
5 Ranheim 9 5 0 4 +0 15
6 Sandnes ULF 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Kongsvinger 9 4 1 4 +4 13
8 Strommen 9 3 4 2 -2 13
9 KFUM Oslo 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Jerv 8 3 2 3 -5 11
11 Raufoss 9 2 2 5 -3 8
12 hodd 9 2 2 5 -5 8
13 Mjondalen 8 2 2 4 -8 8
14 Bryne 9 1 4 4 -4 7
15 Ull/Kisa 9 1 2 6 -4 5
16 Fredrikstad 9 1 2 6 -11 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad hodd
1–0 A. Straith
12′
Half-time 1–0
F. Westgård 🔁
↦ K. Brix
58′
N. Sansara 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
65′
M. Kaland 🔁
↦ L. Begby
72′
76′
🔁 D. Sereba
↦ Ø. Vestvatn
76′
🔁 T. Kallevåg
↦ J. Magnussen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

30 P. Kristiansen
2 M. Simonsen
26 M. Jensen
4 A. Straith
23 E. Tønne
11 K. Brix
6 P. Karoliussen
20 H. Åsheim
10 S. Kapidzic
28 M. N'Diaye
18 L. Begby
Bench (7)
16 F. Westgård
3 N. Sansara
17 M. Kaland
1 H. Jensen
7 B. Rahhaoui
14 A. Aalbu
22 A. Akinyemi

hodd

1 J. Urke
16 H. Wembangomo
3 C. Aasbak
2 S. Moltu
24 E. Skaasheim
6 J. Wrele
17 F. Sjølstad
23 E. Andersen
21 Ø. Vestvatn
10 J. Magnussen
8 R. Shroot
Bench (5)
7 D. Sereba
14 T. Kallevåg
4 J. Törnqvist
15 B. Torset
26 O. Alme

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.