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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Lillestrom
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Brann
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
30%
80%
Points per game
1,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
70%
30%
Both score Ø 45%
60%
30%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Brann 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 10 8 2 0 +14 26
2 Rosenborg 11 7 3 1 +12 24
3 Ranheim 11 7 2 2 +7 23
4 Sarpsborg 08 11 5 4 2 +7 19
5 Haugesund 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Valerenga 11 5 3 3 +0 18
7 Tromso 11 5 2 4 +5 17
8 Molde 11 5 2 4 +2 17
9 Odd 11 5 1 5 +4 16
10 Kristiansund 11 3 4 4 +1 13
11 Lillestrom 10 3 1 6 -6 10
12 Stabaek 11 2 4 5 -7 10
13 Stromsgodset 11 2 3 6 -5 9
14 Bodo/Glimt 11 2 3 6 -6 9
15 Start 11 2 1 8 -16 7
16 Sandefjord 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Brann
1–0 I. Matthew
G. Martin
35′
Half-time 1–0
71′
🔁 A. Karadas
↦ A. Ordagić
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
78′
78′
🔁 H. Johansen
↦ S. Skålevik
82′
🔁 D. Vega
↦ D. Braaten
83′
L. Marengo 1–1
Frode Kippe 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Azar Karadas
S. Antonijevic 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
10 T. Olsen F
9 G. Martin F
Bench (7)
15 E. Brenden
22 S. Antonijevic
7 M. Ebiye
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
8 C. Ezeh
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Brann

4-3-3
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
15 B. Acosta D
3 V. Wormgoor D
17 G. Sørensen F
8 F. Haugen M
29 K. Barmen M
10 A. Ordagić M
25 D. Braaten F
14 L. Marengo F
11 S. Skålevik F
22 G. Koomson F
Bench (7)
18 A. Karadas
27 H. Johansen
19 D. Vega
5 J. Grønner
12 M. Pettersen
21 R. Kristiansen
35 N. Marthinussen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.