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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Tromso
S U S U T
1–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 8. · Lillestrom 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 9 8 1 0 +14 25
2 Rosenborg 8 4 3 1 +7 15
3 Valerenga 9 4 3 2 +2 15
4 Molde 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 Haugesund 8 4 2 2 +3 14
6 Ranheim 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Odd 8 4 1 3 +2 13
8 Tromso 8 3 2 3 +2 11
9 Sarpsborg 08 8 2 4 2 +1 10
10 Kristiansund 8 2 4 2 +0 10
11 Stromsgodset 8 2 3 3 +2 9
12 Lillestrom 8 2 1 5 -4 7
13 Stabaek 8 1 4 3 -6 7
14 Bodo/Glimt 8 1 3 4 -5 6
15 Sandefjord 9 1 2 6 -9 5
16 Start 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Lillestrom
G. Kongshavn 🔁
↦ J. Karlstrom
17′
22′
G. Martin 0–1
E. Knudtzon
26′
T. Olsen 0–2
E. Knudtzon
1–2 M. Ødegaard
Morten Pedersen
45′
Half-time 1–2
S. Vuk 🔁
↦ T. Høgli
61′
M. Bakenga 🔁
↦ R. Espejord
69′
74′
🟨 Erik Brenden
76′
🔁 S. Mikalsen
↦ G. Martin
76′
🔁 A. Melgalvis
↦ E. Brenden
84′
🔁 M. Ebiye
↦ E. Knudtzon
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-3
28 J. Karlstrom G
2 T. Høgli D
5 M. Ødegaard D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
11 R. Taylor M
17 D. Berntsen F
25 L. Nilsen M
30 R. Espejord F
18 E. Samb F
Bench (7)
1 G. Kongshavn
9 S. Vuk
42 M. Bakenga
16 S. Grönli
8 O. Kjærgaard
6 C. Landu Landu
14 H. Norbye

Coach: S. Valakari

Lillestrom

4-3-3
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
5 S. Rafn D
15 E. Brenden M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
9 G. Martin F
Bench (6)
3 S. Mikalsen
33 A. Melgalvis
7 M. Ebiye
8 C. Ezeh
40 M. Christiansen
22 S. Antonijevic

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.