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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Tromso
S U T T S
3–0
Full-time
Valerenga
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
40%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
70%
60%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 9. · Valerenga 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 10 8 2 0 +14 26
2 Rosenborg 10 6 3 1 +11 21
3 Ranheim 10 6 2 2 +5 20
4 Haugesund 10 5 3 2 +4 18
5 Valerenga 10 5 3 2 +3 18
6 Molde 10 5 2 3 +4 17
7 Sarpsborg 08 10 4 4 2 +6 16
8 Odd 10 5 1 4 +5 16
9 Tromso 10 4 2 4 +2 14
10 Kristiansund 10 2 4 4 -3 10
11 Lillestrom 10 3 1 6 -6 10
12 Stromsgodset 10 2 3 5 -1 9
13 Bodo/Glimt 10 2 3 5 -5 9
14 Stabaek 10 1 4 5 -8 7
15 Sandefjord 10 1 2 7 -14 5
16 Start 10 1 1 8 -17 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Valerenga
1–0 K. Antonsen
7′
43′
🟨 Chidera Ejuke
2–0 S. Wangberg
Morten Pedersen
45′
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 M. Grødem
↦ C. Ejuke
C. Landu Landu 🔁
↦ S. Wangberg
63′
70′
🔁 P. Michael
↦ S. Friðjónsson
M. Bakenga 🔁
↦ R. Espejord
75′
3–0 D. Berntsen
M. Bakenga
77′
S. Vuk 🔁
↦ D. Berntsen
79′
82′
🟨 Abdisalam Ibrahim
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Tromso

3-4-1-2
1 G. Kongshavn G
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
11 R. Taylor M
17 D. Berntsen F
25 L. Nilsen M
23 G. Åsen F
30 R. Espejord F
Bench (7)
6 C. Landu Landu
42 M. Bakenga
9 S. Vuk
18 E. Samb
28 J. Karlstrom
2 T. Høgli
8 O. Kjærgaard

Coach: S. Valakari

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 A. Kwarasey G
4 J. Nation D
33 A. Nouri D
25 S. Adekugbe D
5 F. Carvalho D
8 M. Lekven M
6 A. Ibrahim M
17 S. Juklerød D
27 S. Friðjónsson M
10 S. Johnson F
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (7)
29 M. Grødem
19 P. Michael
1 M. Sandberg
22 I. Näsberg
35 U. Mathisen
18 C. Borchgrevink
11 B. Finne

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.