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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Sarpsborg 08

U U S S S

4–2

Full-time

Stabaek

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

45%

18%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

64%

45%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

6 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 7. · Stabaek 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	12	9	3	0	+15	30
2	Rosenborg	12	7	3	2	+11	24
3	Ranheim	12	7	2	3	+3	23
4	Haugesund	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Valerenga	12	6	3	3	+1	21
6	Molde	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	5	4	2	+7	19
8	Tromso	12	5	2	5	+4	17
9	Odd	12	5	1	6	+3	16
10	Kristiansund	12	4	4	4	+2	16
11	Bodo/Glimt	12	3	3	6	-2	12
12	Stromsgodset	12	3	3	6	-3	12
13	Lillestrom	12	3	2	7	-7	11
14	Stabaek	11	2	4	5	-7	10
15	Start	12	2	1	9	-18	7
16	Sandefjord	12	1	2	9	-17	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	7	5	0	2	+9	15
2	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+11	13
3	Odd	7	4	1	2	+9	13
4	Brann	5	4	1	0	+9	13
5	Ranheim	6	4	1	1	+7	13
6	Rosenborg	6	3	2	1	+8	11
7	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+7	11
8	Valerenga	6	3	2	1	+0	11
9	Kristiansund	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	Haugesund	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Stromsgodset	6	2	2	2	+3	8
12	Stabaek	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Lillestrom	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Bodo/Glimt	6	2	1	3	+1	7
15	Start	6	2	0	4	-6	6
16	Sandefjord	6	0	2	4	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	7	5	2	0	+6	17
2	Rosenborg	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Haugesund	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Valerenga	6	3	1	2	+1	10
5	Ranheim	6	3	1	2	-4	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Kristiansund	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Bodo/Glimt	6	1	2	3	-3	5
9	Molde	5	1	2	2	-5	5
10	Stromsgodset	6	1	1	4	-6	4
11	Tromso	6	1	1	4	-7	4
12	Odd	5	1	0	4	-6	3
13	Lillestrom	7	1	0	6	-8	3
14	Sandefjord	6	1	0	5	-13	3
15	Stabaek	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	Start	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.